The Trump Card...

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Another State Disqualifies Trump From Ballot

Ruling in Illinois stayed to allow for appeal.

As expected:

 
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Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Here's a little something I ran across about Letitia James - the AG of NY who is prosecuting Donald Trump for ostensibly defrauding the citizens of NY since there were no other victims. Something to think about while scrolling down this thread of tweets: has she ever been audited? Below are a couple of samples:

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The good stuff about the ghost donors is toward the end of the thread.

 
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RLENT

Veteran Expediter
It would have been preferable for AG Garland to have appointed Special Counsel Smith months before he did.

Well sure ... presuming he actually had a legitimate basis for doing so ...

Without full insight into what DOJ had uncovered in their investigation of Jan 6th - which it is safe to say neither you or I have even now - or how long it took to do so, it's hard to say whether there was a valid reason to appoint him "months" before.

Keep in mind the timeline:

August 8, 2022, the Federal Bureau of Investigation executed a search warrant at Mar-a-Lago in the stolen docs case.

November 18, 2022 Smith is appointed as Special Counsel.

December 19, 2022 PBS reports that the Jan 6th Committee has issued a criminal referral for Trump on 4 charges to DOJ.

December 20, 2022 CNN reports that the January 6th Committee has started handing over the materials they obtained in their investigation.

And there was a whole bunch of investigating and prosecuting going on even prior to the earliest date above.

Like say, Deputy AG Lisa Monaco going after Rudy's emails and electronic devices shortly after she was sworn in (April 21, 2021)

Feds executed a search warrant on Ghouliani's place on April 28, 2021.

The Special Master review of those seized materials took until January 2022 ... when she released over 3,000 of his communications to investigators.

There was no good reason to delay that but he chose to pussy foot around instead.

Easy to lose sight of the big picture ... and pontificate and criticize in hindsight.

Personally, I find that characterization to be ill-advised.

Neither you or I know what we don't know.
 

Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
It's unlikely that the judge will rule from the bench on Friday.
We'll see; there have been new developments.
Again, there is no denying the appearance of impropriety, but disqualifying Willis from the case will require more than that.
No it won't. I've already posted twice his direct quote saying that appearance is all it takes. Fortunately there's more than that now and it was revealed on Tuesday.
In court, and in chambers, a lot goes in under the news reports that we do not see and know. While I trust this judge, I am not presuming to know what weight he will give to what evidence, or how he will rule.
It's not looking good for Willis and Wade. There are several options for the judge listed in the tweet linked below, one of which is "refer them to the state bar". This might be a likely option since it looks like they committed perjury and perpetrated a fraud on the court. That would justify a special prosecutor.

 
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Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
The entire text exchange between Ashleigh Merchant and Terrance Bradley has been released by Megyn Kelly and Phil Holloway. Bradley completely spilled the beans on the relationship between Willis and Wade, and the judge had all this in his possession Tuesday. He could possibly be charged with perjury for his vague testimony on Tuesday, but the texts confirm that Willis and Wade lied under oath about the timing and details of their romantic relationship.

All this is detailed in this Megyn Kelly show on X, but you can fast forward to the 49 minute mark to get to the good stuff.

 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
The Trump Media/DWAC Merger May be Delayed

Various parties are involved in this merger. They are now battling each other in court and the lawsuits may delay the merger.

In the meantime, the reported $4 billion windfall to Trump from this merger has fallen to $3 billion because the stock price has declined.

 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
It's not looking good for Willis and Wade.
It has not looked good for Willis and Wade since news of their romance broke. Monumentally stupid for them to go down that road.
There are several options for the judge listed in the tweet linked below, one of which is "refer them to the state bar". This might be a likely option since it looks like they committed perjury and perpetrated a fraud on the court. That would justify a special prosecutor.
Again, I'm not going to presume what the judge is thinking or how he will rule. We'll know soon enough
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Trump's Financial Realities

Trump has long bragged he is a billionaire many times over.

Trump testified under oath less than a year ago that he had “substantially in excess of $400 million in cash.”

Trump lawyer Alina Habba said that he is worth “billions and billions and billions of dollars” and “happens to have a lot of cash.”

Trump must find enough cash to stave off asset seizures while he appeals judgments against him totaling at least $537 million.

As the 30-day time clocks for posting cash or bond wind down in the Carroll and New York cases, Trump has yet to post cash or bond.

Trump offered a New York appeals court a bond of only $100 million while he appeals. The Court rejected that offer and said Trump must provide the full amount.

In a court filing regarding the NY judgement, Trump said that to secure the full $454 million, he would probably need to sell properties at fire-sale prices.

With big commercial buildings, sales typically take months to close, even with a willing buyer and seller. If Trump's buildings are to be his source of cash, they would have to be hugely discounted, and major concessions would need to be made to secure a near-instant sale.

Trump has owned most of his properties for years so if he is forced to sell, he could incur a big tax bill.

Any sale would have to be reviewed by the Trump Organization’s court-appointed monitor, retired judge Barbara Jones

It is unknown how leveraged Trump's buildings are. If they are encumbered with first, second, or third mortgages, the lenders would be automatically involved and that would slow a sale or make it impossible.

Unless the appeals court cuts him a break, Trump would have to post cash or a bond in the full amount, plus an additional percentage to account for interest.

If Trump does not post cash or bond, AG James and Carroll will move quickly to seize some of his assets.

Trump’s lawyers have said they plan to seek a bond, rather than post cash.

An appeal bond is a guarantee filed with the court by a financial institution that promises that a judgment will be paid.

Appeal bonds are risky, and a company providing one would be on the hook for the full amount if Trump loses.

With Trump's weak legal arguments, it is likely that Trump will lose his appeals, and prospective bonding companies know that.

Defendants usually pay steep fees to bonding companies, and must provide collateral for the full amount.

Bonding firms usually require cash, stocks and bonds: things that can be liquidated quickly.

In New York, a defendant also owes 9 percent interest until the judgment is paid or the appeal resolved. That is added to the size of the bond.

This interest accrues daily and adds over $4 million a month to the judgements that must be paid.

Trump owns a stake in Trump Media & Technology Group, which could be worth as much as $3 billion (at today's stock price) if a long-delayed merger closes this month.

Trump’s shares in this company are subject to a six-month lockup period after the merger, and come with market and other risks, making them unattractive collateral.

Some of the parties involved in this merger are fighting each other in court. That could further delay the merger.

The time clock in the NY case runs out on March 25.

The time clock in the Carroll case runs out March 9.

The above info comes primarily from this NY Times article.
 
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Ragman

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Trump's Financial Realities

Trump has long bragged he is a billionaire many times over.....
Don Ameche and Ralph Belamy reprising their roll as
Randolph & Mortimer Duke from Trading Places make a crossover cameo in Coming To America

Trumps future? We can only wish.
1000000457.jpg
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Trumps future? We can only wish.
I don't think Trump will ever end up homeless and hungry on the street. Long before that happened, he'd stop paying his lawyers to delay court cases. Speedy trials would come and Trump would receive three hots and a cot in prison.
 
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coalminer

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
I don't think Trump will ever end up homeless and hungry on the street. Long before that happened, he'd stop paying his lawyers to delay court cases. Justice would come and Trump would receive three hots and a cot in the Graybar Hotel.
But before that would happen, he would flee to Russia to give Putin all of our secrets.
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
I would not put great faith in that policy. An exception is written into it that allows DOJ to pursue a case where the evidence is fully developed, which it is in this case.
As I expected, the DOJ 60 day rule will not apply in the Mar-a-Lago documents case, because the rule itself has included this exception for a long time; long before Trump was an item on the political radar.

"An attorney with the special counsel Jack Smith's team told a judge Friday that holding former President Donald Trump's classified documents trial before the November election would not violate Justice Department policy. ...

"Bratt told Judge Cannon a trial is permissible because the policy does not apply to already indicted matters."
(bold emphasis mine)


The 60-day rule is further explained here:

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muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
I don't think Trump will ever end up homeless and hungry on the street. Long before that happened, he'd stop paying his lawyers to delay court cases. Speedy trials would come and Trump would receive three hots and a cot in prison.
No need for a speedy trial. Too many important motions that still have to be thoroughly examined by judge Cannon in a cautious and prudent manner. A speedy trial is a right afforded for the defense.
At least the Florida court understands that concept. Good, good.
 
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muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
No need for a speedy trial. Too many important motions that still have to be thoroughly examined by judge Cannon in a cautious and prudent manner. A speedy trial is a right afforded for the defense.
At least the Florida court understands that concept. Good, good.
Besides, an early trial date is “unrealistic”.
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Good News for Sedition Hunters; Bad News for Insurrectionists

"House Republicans will no longer blur the faces of Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol rioters in security footage posted online, Speaker Mike Johnson announced Friday."


 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Neither you or I know what we don't know.
muttly's ignorant characterization aside, I agree with your point. No one knows what they don't know.

Nevertheless, it seems to me Garland could have and should have appointed a special counsel earlier than he did. As you said, a whole lot of investigating was going on before Smith was appointed. DOJ does not need events to rise to a certain level to appoint a special counsel. Trump's status as former president was more than enough to appoint a special counsel early on.

From ChatGPT:

The appointment of a special counsel by the Department of Justice (DOJ) typically occurs when there is a potential conflict of interest or when an investigation requires a level of independence from the regular DOJ hierarchy. The decision to appoint a special counsel is usually made by the Attorney General or, in some cases, by the Deputy Attorney General, if the Attorney General recuses themselves due to a conflict of interest.
There is no strict threshold or specific event that triggers the appointment of a special counsel, but it often involves significant cases where there may be concerns about impartiality or political interference. Some common scenarios that might lead to the appointment of a special counsel include:

  1. Allegations of wrongdoing involving high-ranking government officials, particularly those within the executive branch.
  2. Cases involving potential conflicts of interest within the DOJ itself, such as investigations into the president, senior administration officials, or matters affecting the DOJ's integrity.
  3. Situations where there is a perception that the regular DOJ personnel might be compromised or have a conflict of interest in conducting an investigation.
  4. Cases where there are concerns about political interference or undue influence on an investigation.
The decision to appoint a special counsel is often based on the judgment of the Attorney General or Deputy Attorney General, taking into account various factors such as the seriousness of the allegations, the need for independence, and public confidence in the integrity of the investigation. Once appointed, the special counsel typically has a degree of independence to conduct the investigation, although they are still subject to certain oversight mechanisms within the DOJ.
 

muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
muttly's ignorant characterization aside, I agree with your point. No one knows what they don't know.

Nevertheless, it seems to me Garland could have and should have appointed a special counsel earlier than he did. As you said, a whole lot of investigating was going on before Smith was appointed. DOJ does not need events to rise to a certain level to appoint a special counsel. Trump's status as former president was more than enough to appoint a special counsel early on.

From ChatGPT:

The appointment of a special counsel by the Department of Justice (DOJ) typically occurs when there is a potential conflict of interest or when an investigation requires a level of independence from the regular DOJ hierarchy. The decision to appoint a special counsel is usually made by the Attorney General or, in some cases, by the Deputy Attorney General, if the Attorney General recuses themselves due to a conflict of interest.
There is no strict threshold or specific event that triggers the appointment of a special counsel, but it often involves significant cases where there may be concerns about impartiality or political interference. Some common scenarios that might lead to the appointment of a special counsel include:

  1. Allegations of wrongdoing involving high-ranking government officials, particularly those within the executive branch.
  2. Cases involving potential conflicts of interest within the DOJ itself, such as investigations into the president, senior administration officials, or matters affecting the DOJ's integrity.
  3. Situations where there is a perception that the regular DOJ personnel might be compromised or have a conflict of interest in conducting an investigation.
  4. Cases where there are concerns about political interference or undue influence on an investigation.
The decision to appoint a special counsel is often based on the judgment of the Attorney General or Deputy Attorney General, taking into account various factors such as the seriousness of the allegations, the need for independence, and public confidence in the integrity of the investigation. Once appointed, the special counsel typically has a degree of independence to conduct the investigation, although they are still subject to certain oversight mechanisms within the DOJ.
That appointment has to by the president and with the consent of the senate.
So the first part of that “oversight mechanism” described above was avoided.
 
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