And there lies the problem for Paul. Way too many ifs could-bes, and may-bees. I agree with you in that he is going to have to cough up some names if he starts to gain any steam nationally.
Dave,
I get where you are coming from - it's sort of a "conventional wisdom" viewpoint.
But as history has repeatedly taught us, sometimes "conventional wisdom" ain't so wise after all
Media will come after him and a long drawn out explanation true or not isn't going to cut it. Failure to provide names will be spun into he either agrees with what was written or he is hiding something. It will just egg them on more.
The inherent problem for the media is that the longer they run with the smear campaign, the more they engage in distorting and misrepresenting the truth, and the more hysterical and rabid the rhetoric gets, the more apparent the desperation becomes, the more they raise an awareness of, and an interest in, Dr. Paul - and discredit themselves.
Keep in mind that much of the MSM has attempted to deliberately ignore him up to fairly recently - denying him media coverage, and time in the debates - suppressing his message.
Now we have various talking heads and pundits appearing on the Lobotomy Box shrilly warning of the various "dangerousnesses" of Dr. Paul (
Yeah, he's dangerous alright - to them and the Republicrat/Democan establishment)
Now look at where public opinion is in terms of "the establishment" (MSM, party, government, etc.)
Someone decides it's a really bright idea to trot out a Dick "I-like-to-suck-on-toes" Morris being a good example of this sorta thing.
Or Judith "I'm-quite-happy-to-lie-about-them-WMDs-in-Iraq" Miller of the NYT. Using already discredited or questionable voices ain't exactly real bright.
You'd at least think they could find someone that had a shred of cred .... oh wait .... I forgot .... that's a very limited pool .....
All this creates a backlash - causing many people to start looking for themselves, to non-traditional sources of info (aka anything other than the MSM)
The difficulty that these folks have is that they are competing against Dr. Paul's philosophy and message - one which could be described, for lack of better terms, as being based on certain
eternal truths ....
If he polls where he is at now nationally, probably won't be an issue.
The level of hysteria on the part of the establishment tells us that they understand
exactly why it potentially is an issue ..... a very, very big one.
I've already covered the fact of why national polls aren't all that accurate (too far out from the primary date, lack of focus by those polled, etc.) - this was (accurately, IMO) observed and pointed out by Larry Sabato.
It is interesting though, that Paul's support has continued to rise nationally - despite a concerted effort on the part of the smearbund to prevent it. And he's starting to pickup support from some places he (oddly) didn't have much before:
Ron Paul picking up tea party supporters in state as other campaigns falter
Additionally the nature of Dr. Paul's support fundamently differs from the candidates - it tends to be far more committed (
to the man, but more importantly to message and philosophy) - and once it has arrived in Camp Paul, it is unlikely to go away. This was covered in article done by Will Wilkinson in the Economist, and the following graph he did is illustrative of the phenomena:
Think snowball rolling down a large hill, but reverse the concept where gravity actually pulls things up.
I suspect that is partially why it hasn't been pursued strongly in the past, but does seem to be coming up more these last few weeks.
The reason why it's coming up more these last few weeks is because the GOP establishment and their henchmen in the MSM see the writing on the wall.
They have descended into a largely psychotic frenzy-mode - one which is easily observable.