In The News
Partisan Finger-pointing Draws Credit Downgrade Warnings While Oil Prices Tumble
If the situation weren't serious enough already, the international
credit rating agency, Standard & Poors, warns that further bickering
and infighting could result in further rating downgrades. Meanwhile,
oil prices on Asian markets fell below $84 in Singapore at midday --
more than three dollars lower than Friday's New York close.
Oil prices sank below $84 a barrel Monday in Asia after Standard &
Poor's lowered the U.S. credit rating. Benchmark oil for September
delivery was down $3.27 to $83.61 a barrel at midday Singapore time in
electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Crude rose 25
cents during the day Friday to settle at $86.88.
Oil plunged after Standard & Poor's announced Friday it was lowering
its rating for U.S. debt one notch from AAA to AA+. Investors are
concerned the first-ever U.S. debt rating downgrade will batter already
weakening consumer confidence and hurt economic growth.
The S&P move came after Democratic and Republican lawmakers failed
to reach a satisfactory compromise on the burgeoning U.S. debt.
The deal to cut some $2.5 trillion over 10 years in exchange for raising
the congressionally-set debt ceiling fell short of the S&P's call
for the United States to cut $4 trillion over the same period.
Continued bi-partisan bickering, posturing and finger-pointing Sunday
drew another warning from S&P ratings head John Chambers.
"If the fiscal position of the United States deteriorates further, or if
the political gridlock becomes more entrenched, then that could lead to
(another) downgrade," Chambers told ABC television.
"The outlook indicates at least a one in three chance of a downgrade"
over the next six to 24 months, he said on the political talk show "This
Week."
Washington remains deeply divided over how to reduce the $14 trillion
debt without putting the brakes on an already sluggish economic
recovery.
President Obama and the Democrats are calling for a "balanced approach"
in which the government would raise taxes on the wealthy and big
corporations while making some cuts to entitlement programs.
The Republicans, particularly those close to the Tea Party, have
adamantly ruled out any new tax revenues, which they say would kill job
creation.
Despite growing fears of a recession in the U.S., some analysts expect
global economic growth to remain robust, supporting oil prices. Goldman
Sachs recommends investors buy the Brent December 2012 futures contract,
forecasting Brent will average $130 next year.
"We maintain that commodity markets will continue to tighten as long as
global economic growth remains broadly positive and the emerging market
economies in particular continue to perform," Goldman Sachs said in a
report. "We expect that the market will continue to tighten to critical
levels by 2012, pushing oil prices substantially higher to restrain
demand.
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