Whether it's less freight or as you say just less available to straight trucks the end result is similar, the ratio adjusts upward for those who continue to "Go west young man."
No it doesn't. Not when the loads that take you back east are pre-dispatched two and three loads deep to flat rate trucks pulling company owned trailers. Loads that used to normally bubble up in the flow and be seen by trucks with dwell time are taken out of the system, fundamentally altering the ratio for trucks that do not receive preferential dispatch treatment.
Thre are two systems in play now. In one, flat rate trucks pulling company owned trailers are dispatched out 100% of the time or nearly so. In the other, non-flat rate trucks with contractor-owned equipment are dispatched out only if there are not enough flat-rate trucks to cover the freight.
The supply of freight has remained the same but because different kinds of trucks access it in different ways, a ratio analysis must be adjusted to account for the shift. Two different ways of getting freight, two different ratios to accurately describe how effective each way is.
This analysis must also account for the fact that additional company owned trailers will soon be injected into the game. I am told that 28 new reefer trailers are being added to the company-owned fleet this month, bringing the total to 40.
Clearly, the company sees reasons to more than tripple its number of company-owned reefer trailers, but it does not bode well for existing contractors, reefer or dry, big-rig or straight. As contractors see flat rate trucks cutting more and more into lanes they used to be able to rely on, they will adjust as Diane and I have.
Where we might have taken a load west, we will now focus more east, thereby putting ourselves in the dispatch order in states where competing trucks would not have seen us. Where we might have passed up a dry load thinking a better reefer load would come along, we will adjust to take the dry load when we are able, thereby taking that load from a dry truck that might have otherwise gotten it.
When does a non-asset based carrier become an asset-based carrier? When the carrier acquires assets. When does the company's cultural outlook shift? At about the same time.
The injection of flat rate trucks into the fleet with preferential dispatch is the second-most significant development Diane and I have seen since we began with the company nearly eight years ago. The most significant development was TVAL freight that greatly improved our profitability. The company has always provided dry van trailers to E-unit drivers but they were dispatched the same as all other trucks. What is new is reefer trailers, flat rate tractors pulling dry van and reefer trailers, and preferential dispatch.
We are watching this development with great interest and making adjustments as appropriate to our needs and goals.
Will flat-rate and percentage-rate trucks be able to coexist and both prosper? Time will tell. Will the company consider a team like Diane and me -- who are fully credentialed to haul all types of freight, do art courier loads, have a truck with a wooden floor, have a liftgate (new company trailers do not), can get into shippers where ER-units are not able, carry far more freight securement equipment than the company trailers are required to have, and have track record of reliability (even heroics on some loads) that the company presumably desires -- important enough to keep to put us a preferential dispatch arrangement of some sort? That too may happen, we do not know. Will the company be able to operate a flat rate fleet as well as they think they can? We will find out.
As I said, we are watching these developments with great interest. We don't know how it will all play out but, clearly, the game is changing and a re-think of the FDCC opportunity is in order.