The Future (End) of Truck Driving is Closer Than You Think

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Truckers often react to stories like this with comments like "Not in my lifetime" or "Robots cannot drive safer than a professional like me." But such denial does nothing to slow the rapid movement toward self-driving trucks. Some are in real-world use right now as explained and pictured in this thread.

Volvo has been promoting the concept of road trains -- convoys of trucks with the lead truck driven by a human and the trucks behind driving themselves, programmed to follow the lead truck. Volvo successfully ran such a convoy in Spain on May 22. Story here. Similar demonstrations in other countries and the U.S. are probably not far behind.

It takes very little imagination to picture a large truckload carrier putting a team in a lead truck to lead say 10 trucks from New York to Los Angeles where 9 local or regional drivers will meet them and drive the individual trucks to their final stop.

With self driving cars already legal in two states (CA and NV) for testing purposes, it is not hard to imagine at all that the trucks will eventually drive themselves to the final stops. I am skeptical of Volvo's concept and believe they are introducing the human-led convoy only to gain public acceptance of robot trucks. With the convoy trucks already able to drive themselves, I don't think Volvo and others will settle on the human-led convoy idea. They will take the concept of self-driving trucks to its logical conclusion and eliminate human drivers altogether.

With the cost savings of driverless trucks being huge and the technology finding acceptance among the general public, I am not in the "Not in my lifetime" camp. While it saddens me to accept the fact, I have come to believe we will live to see truck drivers follow into the sunset telephone operators, family farmers, freight train conductors, aircraft navigators and others whose work has been eliminated by technology.
 

Monty

Expert Expediter
Those "carts" that run around inside factories without direction are a prime example of the above, on a small scale. The technology is there, it just needs to be embraced.
 

Moot

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
It takes very little imagination to picture a large truckload carrier putting a team in a lead truck to lead say 10 trucks from New York to Los Angeles where 9 local or regional drivers will meet them and drive the individual trucks to their final stop.

Yeah that, or put the 10 trailers on a choo-choo train and leave the trucks in New York.
 

layoutshooter

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
I am not sure I see the point. Why not just put them on rail cars and move them? What am missing?
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
As Doris Day sant back in 1955-56..."Que Sera Sera".....whatever will be will be...

Progress and advancement stops for no one, well obama is doing his hardest to slow it down...but, so what..They assembly line was revolutionized with the introduction of Robtics...what makes anyone think that any industry is immune to change that will eliminate the human factor...I mean we all know over time people cost more then robotics..and those greedy corporations are just that greedy and in need to make and keep more profits for themselves...:D
 

jjoerger

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
US Army
I think this will be a long time coming due to the "Public Safety" issues. Trains and planes are capable of operating without anyone at the controls, but public safety prevents that from happening at this time. A lot of people are scared to see an 80,000 pound semi driving down the highway. Seeing that same rig without a driver ......
 

paullud

Veteran Expediter
I would say this won't happen anytime soon and not in any of our life times. There is no need for it because of trains and we have to much traffic.

Sent from my ADR6400L using EO Forums
 

mjmsprt40

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
I have a bad habit of asking a question which, to my knowledge, no one has adequately answered yet.

That question is this: After we have all been replaced on the job by robots, who is going to buy the products the robots make and deliver??? Laid-off workers who can't get new jobs because robots do it faster and better??? I don't see laid-off people buying much, do you? OK, that's a series of questions, but I haven't heard any answers-- not since my second-grade teacher was championing the idea of robots replacing people way back in the early sixties.
 

davekc

Senior Moderator
Staff member
Fleet Owner
Laid off people are buying all kinds of things with those "Obamabucks". Only half the population is carrying the load now.
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
mjm, come on..either you aren't thinking, or you aren't paying attention the current events...Think Federal Government...you know, the one that wants to take care of us all from cradle to grave...the statist left has always wanted to control the people though the geist of being the ones to fix it all and make sure that everyone was taken care of....When the government starts doling out money to more people then those that they are not, its a fair bet they are on there way..oh wait, under barry we just reached that point....

So as tax dollars fall because there aren't enough people working, the Federal Government will simply take over indusrty and continue to supply the people with what they need..that is until people start to revolt and then you will see the government start to kill the every people they have promised to take care of..thinning the herd to a manageable level once again...
 

Moot

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
..that is until people start to revolt and then you will see the government start to kill the every people they have promised to take care of..thinning the herd to a manageable level once again...

Maybe that robot burger Scott buys with his credit card will be a soylent green robot burger.

What else does the future hold; trains without cabooses and brakemen? Say it ain't so.
 

moose

Veteran Expediter
You guys just don't see far enough into the future.
car drive by itself...there goe's the driver.
truckers...gone.
now...next...dispatch. no need anyway, shippers go str8 to the Sylectus, where they see a truck.
now we talking business.
let see, next - recruiting...gone
billing...gone.
safety...gone.
now we getting somewhere...
we can now simply eliminate the carrier !,
why pay an executive that all he dose is show up to work.

just incase any of you still have a doubt if the ATA represent carriers or Shippers groups.
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
Whats the big scary deal?? I mean so they replace the drivers..you still own the truck..equip it with the needed equipment and lease it to a carrier..then sit back, program the load and go fishing...**** you all look for the doom and gloom...i mean i do this for the vacation as it is, push come to shove, i have to buy a motorhome...
 

Eric1

Active Expediter
I can see the concept working for a 10 truck loads having to go all to one place, but how often do you see that, especially not in expediting where you got a pallet or two per van/truck all going in different directions. So now were talking individual trucks and vans that will need to be self driven. Maybe they are working on convoy of robots led by a human driver now, but for the entire industry to replace the human driver by having EACH individual truck/van self driven will take a while, simply based on the cost of this being soo new maybe some of the large carriers could get into it, but most will have to wait for the next generation at the very least until the cost of such technology comes down.
 
Top