I could go on forever about this topic. But, what I'm really trying to do is just point out some issues for others contemplating the business who may not be thinking about, or are not aware of, them. There's more to this business than trying to figure out what everyone is making. Is it really that hard to figure out...??? Just read this forum put two and two together. All the info you need is right here. I mean you can even get EXACT costs for EVERYTHING by PICKING UP A PHONE and calling an expedite company and an insurance agent. They will both give you numbers over the phone, no problem.
I'm not some truck stop prophet trying to save the trucking industry.
I am exactly who I claim to be.
What do I really think...? (As if anyone cares) (I think pellgrn does).
My job is gone forever. NO DOUBT ABOUT IT. I am a causality of what is called a "global marketplace". Technical jobs can be done over the internet now. Truckers never will be "globalized" or "Roy Munsoned" if you prefer. (An obscure "Kingpin" reference, if you know what I'm talking about, your laughing right now)
I think expediting as a whole will last MUCH longer in it's current state than OTR will. How long...??? Probably, 10 years, at the least, and I agree there will be other opportunities. My guess is container something or other, before the 10 years is up. Somehow all that freight that is being manufactured overseas has to get to market SOMEHOW. It's only going to grow with time. But WHO really knows.
I think the rates have shaken down to a point where they can't go much lower. There will always be cases of back biting and "cheap freight" but I don't think it's all that widespread. I think there will also be respectable companies working overtime to keep their trucks making them money. I don't really know though.
Everyone fed on the fat for a few years, but, that's over now. Now, only the CLEVER hunters survive, not the vultures. The truth is, if my company knew how to operate efficently and maintain good customer relations. I wouldn't even be posting here I'd be BUSY working. They don't, so they die. I'm not in upper level management so I'm helpless, as I watch it happen.
I think the hand that feeds NLM will eventually starve them out of existence. Once they get all their mini-cities built up they won't need it any longer. They and others like them will PROBABLY take their money and run. Tough call. This is the only part of the business that REALLY does worry me. I hope it's only a temporary automotive stop gap. I've seen them do MUCH dumber things.
I don't think the big boys can really play in the expedited market efficently. To much management for a big company to do (they hate that). Overhead.
Why would a Mexican do the job for half price, I don't know....??? Do you...??? Aren't they really just like us....??? If he can make more money, isn't he going to...???? They aren't mindless slaves. Join the new millenium, it's not that bad, really.
I think the language barriers not only at the carrier but also where the loads are picked up and delivered pretty much locks the non-english speaking (look at that political correctness) out for a LONG time. Maybe they can thrive in pockets where Spanish is like the second language but not all over the country. Certainly not in the Midwest. Trust me, your customers will NOT be happy handing off their "hot" freight to someone who they can't communicate with. Picking strawberries is different MUCH different than driving a truck. Its interesting, to me, nobody pointed this out. If you were shipping your kids Christmas presents via an expeditor would you feel good about it, with someone babbling some chicken talk at you (enough PC), as you explain how important this freight is. I don't know how much contact you have with your customers I'm just speculating.
I don't care what ANYONE says we've been in a recession for at least four years. If the economy ever picks up again, companies won't care how much it costs to expedite something. It'll go back to "I don't care. GET IT DONE!!!" Which is good for expeditors. If this happens you can add five years, easy. As soon as one of political leaders (Republican or Democrat-I don't care) figures out we need to ADD GOOD JOBS, and legislation to make that happen, and cut our trade deficit to a NORMAL level to get the economy started again we'll all be better off. I'm NO economist that's just what I think. Right or wrong. I don't care.
It's OFFICAL. Canada is PISSING ME OFF.
These are the ramblings of a ding-a-ling.
I look forward to moving into a field where I'm NOT doing the exact same thing everyday. I'll have to adapt and learn to roll with the punches, daily. But I think I'll manage. The thought of driving my OWN company, the way I WANT to is more liberating, than the downsides are depressing and I think that's more than half the battle.
Good Luck,
Jeff