Panetta: Israel May Strike Iran This Spring

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator
Not a chance - Israel has far more firepower and could handle the Iranian forces easily. The problem would be with their surrounding neighbors - Palestinians, Lebanon, Syria, and the rockets and attacks that would come from them.

After a little research...the F22 Raptor and even the F35 which can not hold a large payload as the 22 does not have the range to strike and make it back home, unless they are refueled in the air......Combat range is only 590 NM's Ferry range 1200 miles.....it is about 2,000 miles round trip.....and I am pretty sure Jordan won't allow Israel infantry to march across their land...Iran will not be a pushover....
 

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
After a little research...the F22 Raptor and even the F35 which can not hold a large payload as the 22 does not have the range to strike and make it back home, unless they are refueled in the air......Combat range is only 590 NM's Ferry range 1200 miles.....it is about 2,000 miles round trip.....and I am pretty sure Jordan won't allow Israel infantry to march across their land...Iran will not be a pushover....
I read something recently about a push to supply Israel with tanker aircraft so they could do in-flight refueling ....

Of course, it solves one problem (for Israel, not us) and potentially creates another: the blowback that will most assuredly come - if such tankers are supplied, and then Israel then attacks Iran on its own .....

It will viewed as a hostile act by Iran.

Things do not happen in a vacuum .... and of course, anyone that believes they do is complete fool ..... ;)
 

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
Iran has about 261 naval ships as to Israels 64? Active military is almost 5-1 in Favor of Iran...and reserves again in favor of Iran.....
Fit for service..Israel about 2 million...Iran about 19 million...

http://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=Israel

http://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=Iran

as much as some think it'll be a cake walk for Israel...I think not...
Yup ...... likely not ......

However, expect someone to show up at any moment trying to sell the idea that the Israelis will be ".... welcomed in the streets as liberators ....." :rolleyes:
 

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator
Yup ...... likely not ......

However, expect someone to show up at any moment trying to sell the idea that the Israelis will be ".... welcomed in the streets as liberators ....." :rolleyes:

Iranians appear to be happy and settled as a people...celebration in the streets for the 33rd anniverary of Islamic takeover....but WE keep nattering at them and upsetting their way of living the life, they chose....ok they don't like our life style...big deal.....
 

Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Iranians appear to be happy and settled as a people...celebration in the streets for the 33rd anniverary of Islamic takeover....but WE keep nattering at them and upsetting their way of living the life, they chose....ok they don't like our life style...big deal.....
Please provide sources for this conclusion / statement. Maybe the rest of us have missed something - the Iranian population has suddenly changed it's mind since the riots of 2009 - 2010 and everything is wonderful.:rolleyes:
Evidently the Iranian population is no longer concerned with their unemployment rate, inflation and general malaise of their infrastructure.
 

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
Please provide sources for this conclusion / statement. Maybe the rest of us have missed something
Goes almost without saying, don't it ?

Try watching the Rick Steves documentaries on Iran I posted awhile back (note of caution: it may cause your head to explode)

the Iranian population has suddenly changed it's mind since the riots of 2009 - 2010 and everything is wonderful.
Nope ..... but they're not the only ones who's population isn't entirely happy with those in positions of power ....

Google "Occupy Wall Street" and "Tea Party" if you are unfamiliar with this local phenomena.

Evidently the Iranian population is no longer concerned with their unemployment rate, inflation and general malaise of their infrastructure.
I'm sure they are ..... I'm also quite sure that they understand exactly who is responsible for the jackboot that is pressed against their economic neck that is preventing them from having a better economy.... just in case anyone has forgotten who has pushed for the international sanctions against them .....
 

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator
The report broadcast footage of other rallies around Iran, saying millions participated in the anniversary celebrations, many under heavy snowfall.
Ahmadinejad spoke at a rally in Tehran as tens of thousands of Iranians marked the 33rd anniversary of the Islamic Revolution that toppled the pro-Western monarchy and brought Islamic clerics to power.

sounds like they have the same misery we have here....only as Rlent said...they are having "outside influences" messing with their economy....
 

Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
sounds like they have the same misery we have here....only as Rlent said...they are having "outside influences" messing with their economy....
Since I don't see those posts I don't know what was said about "outside influences". But let me guess - all their economic, social and human rights problems are the fault of the U.S.:(

It doesn't take much research to uncover the human rights abuses of the "mullahcratic" despotism over there which was exemplified by the brutal crackdown against the Iranian population's Green Revolution in 2009, during which Barack Hussein Obama say idly by and did nothing. It's also easy to find information about Iran's economic conditions, which have been pretty lousy for years thanks to the mismanagement of the military and their ruling clerics. But we're supposed to believe that the Iranian people are all happy campers in spite of their high inflation rate, high unemployment rate, widespread govt. corruption and human rights abuses? No doubt all those protesters that were risking their lives in the streets during the 2009 riots against the rigged elections have done a 180 degree turnaround and come to their senses. :rolleyes:

"A “rentier economy” is possibly the best description that can be given to the Iranian economy today. In general, countries that receive considerable amounts of oil income from foreign sources on a regular basis tend to become independent from their societies, unaccountable to their citizens, and despotic. The Iranian economy has adopted a rentier character. If not prevented, it will doom the country’s economy and long-term prospects.
Furthermore, corruption is ramping up. Just recently it was revealed that an embezzlement operation amounting to $3 billion has taken place in Bank Saderat. The described fraud is the biggest in the country’s banking history. The embezzlement comes only a week after a similar case, estimated to have cost around $2 billion...

Unlike developed economies, the government and Central Bank of Iran have limited capacity to employ fiscal and monetary stimuli to bolster growth as they failed to sustain surpluses during the oil surge. This may cause the economy to go out of control. Already, factors such as the artificial foreign exchange rate, directive deposit and lending bank rates, the high inflation rate, the high unemployment rate, the falling production rate, massive imports, sanctions, etc. have put the economy in shambles. A much disciplined advanced system is needed to replace the current system to resolve the state of the economy with all these challenges taking place simultaneously."


http://www.payvand.com/news/11/sep/1112.html


 

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator
Since I don't see those posts I don't know what was said about "outside influences". But let me guess - all their economic, social and human rights problems are the fault of the U.S.:(

It doesn't take much research to uncover the human rights abuses of the "mullahcratic" despotism over there which was exemplified by the brutal crackdown against the Iranian population's Green Revolution in 2009, during which Barack Hussein Obama say idly by and did nothing. It's also easy to find information about Iran's economic conditions, which have been pretty lousy for years thanks to the mismanagement of the military and their ruling clerics. But we're supposed to believe that the Iranian people are all happy campers in spite of their high inflation rate, high unemployment rate, widespread govt. corruption and human rights abuses? No doubt all those protesters that were risking their lives in the streets during the 2009 riots against the rigged elections have done a 180 degree turnaround and come to their senses. :rolleyes:

"A “rentier economy” is possibly the best description that can be given to the Iranian economy today. In general, countries that receive considerable amounts of oil income from foreign sources on a regular basis tend to become independent from their societies, unaccountable to their citizens, and despotic. The Iranian economy has adopted a rentier character. If not prevented, it will doom the country’s economy and long-term prospects.
Furthermore, corruption is ramping up. Just recently it was revealed that an embezzlement operation amounting to $3 billion has taken place in Bank Saderat. The described fraud is the biggest in the country’s banking history. The embezzlement comes only a week after a similar case, estimated to have cost around $2 billion...

Unlike developed economies, the government and Central Bank of Iran have limited capacity to employ fiscal and monetary stimuli to bolster growth as they failed to sustain surpluses during the oil surge. This may cause the economy to go out of control. Already, factors such as the artificial foreign exchange rate, directive deposit and lending bank rates, the high inflation rate, the high unemployment rate, the falling production rate, massive imports, sanctions, etc. have put the economy in shambles. A much disciplined advanced system is needed to replace the current system to resolve the state of the economy with all these challenges taking place simultaneously."


http://www.payvand.com/news/11/sep/1112.html




Pilgrim sir....My point is...it is their country to do with as they please....they do not need us to play referee or run interference.....if they have a civil war fine....if they kill each other fine... I mean some of you guys get all worked up when other countries get in our business....we watch from afar and see how and who we will be dealing with....
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
OK so now what does someone want to do?

If anyone pays attention to the news, they had a revelation that Al Qeuda is supporting the Syrian protesters, which in part they said something about supporting Libya, Egypt and so on.

So if the Iranian government gets toppled, who do you think will be leading the way into the country to help it out?

The US or the UN?

If you are thinking that, think again.

It will be some pro-Arabist group who will fight to get rid of the western influences.
 

Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Pilgrim sir....My point is...it is their country to do with as they please....they do not need us to play referee or run interference.....if they have a civil war fine....if they kill each other fine... I mean some of you guys get all worked up when other countries get in our business....we watch from afar and see how and who we will be dealing with....
I agree wholeheartedly so long as they keep it inside their borders. However, when and if they start exporting terrorism or aiding/abetting terrorist groups like Hamas and Hezbollah that effect us or our allies like Israel, then it creates a problem we need to address.
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
I agree wholeheartedly so long as they keep it inside their borders. However, when and if they start exporting terrorism or aiding/abetting terrorist groups like Hamas and Hezbollah that effect us or our allies like Israel, then it creates a problem we need to address.

So we reap what we sow, isn't that what the saying is?

Why is it that people quickly forget what we did?

We meddled in Iran's affairs and it came back to bite us on the a** so now we are victims?

The term Iran or any news about them is met with the same contempt equal to if it was news about Obama taking a crap the wrong way - like this thing about birth control and the catholic church.

We have to keep things in perspective, Israel from my point of view is not a country that takes chances and has spied on us, their so-called protector. From their lack of concern what we do, I am assuming they too are laughing at our posturing and stomping our feet as if we do matter.

IF Iran does something, well then they do, but we have other things to worry about, Iran should be low on the list. As one of the Heritage people said last night "the interruption of oil from the middle east would be a temporary problem at most because our major suppliers are north and south of us" and he went on to say "the spike we experience will be short lived as it was in the past".
 

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
If anyone pays attention to the news, they had a revelation that Al Qeuda is supporting the Syrian protesters, which in part they said something about supporting Libya, Egypt and so on.

So if the Iranian government gets toppled, who do you think will be leading the way into the country to help it out?

The US or the UN?

If you are thinking that, think again.

It will be some pro-Arabist group who will fight to get rid of the western influences.
Please do remember that you are addressing your comments to one of the self-appointed "Masters Of The Universe" ....

.... all things are under their control .... and there never are any unintended consequences ....
 

Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
So we reap what we sow, isn't that what the saying is?

Why is it that people quickly forget what we did?

We meddled in Iran's affairs and it came back to bite us on the a** so now we are victims?
So we're to believe that the Iranians have been pure as the wind-driven snow, and all this trouble is because the evil imperialist yankees "meddled" in Iran's affairs??:rolleyes: That's just pure, unadulterated (expletive deleted) that comes straight off the Lew Rockwell website. You seem to conveniently ignore the fact that Iran has been a state sponsor of terrorism since the 1970s, arming, aiding and abetting organizations like Hezbollah, Hamas, Iraqi insurgents, and most recently the Syrian regime that's slaughtering it's citizens in the streets by the thousands - talk about MEDDLING in the affairs of other countries?!
Broadly speaking, a state sponsor of terrorism is typically a country that uses terrorist groups as a kind of proxy for actions or policies it does not want to leave its fingerprints on. Former CIA officer Michael Scheuer says the key example is Iran's backing of Lebanese Hezbollah. He says, "State-sponsored terrorism came in the middle-1970s, and then, really, its heyday was in the 1980s and early-'90s. And typically, the definition of a state sponsor of terrorism is a country that uses surrogates as its weapon to attack other people. The primary example to this day is Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah. Hezbollah, in the nomenclature of the discussion, would be the surrogate of Iran."

...Scheuer says Iran and Syria are considered to be the most active in sponsoring terrorism -- Iran for its backing of Hezbollah and Syria for aiding Hezbollah, Hamas, and other Palestinian groups attacking Israel. Syria has been implicated in the assassination of several key political figures in Lebanon, including former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri."
http://www.voanews.com/english/news/a-13-2006-04-19-voa60.html
And speaking of meddling, how about Iran's repeated vow to wipe Israel off the map and their denial of Israel's right to even exist? Sounds like that might qualify also, especially in light of their involvement with terrorist groups inside Lebanon and the PLO.

http://terrorism.about.com/od/iran/p/Iran2.htm

IF Iran does something, well then they do, but we have other things to worry about, Iran should be low on the list.
More Ron Paul nonsense.:p I'll bet the French thought the same thing about Nazi Germany in the spring of 1936, right before Hitler crossed into the Rhineland. We all know how their policy of non-intervention and appeasement worked out
As one of the Heritage people said last night "the interruption of oil from the middle east would be a temporary problem at most because our major suppliers are north and south of us" and he went on to say "the spike we experience will be short lived as it was in the past".
Which Heritage guy said that, and was he talking about closing the Straits of Hormuz? There's an extensive study on their website that demonstrates the exact opposite, and I posted a link to it in an earlier thread.
Needless to say, we would be having problems with those theocratic despots no matter what our foreign policy towards them might have been. Considering the potential for what might happen if they go nuclear, we had better have human intel embedded in there right now and drones all over the place so we'll know that they're doing. If that's considered meddling - so be it, when our national interest is at stake.
 

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
So we're to believe that the Iranians have been pure as the wind-driven snow
Nope - but neither are we ....

But more to the point: What did they do to us, prior to our initial meddling in their affairs ?

Did they come to our shores, invade, and commit all manner of murder and mayhem ?

Execute a coup and topple our democratically elected government ?

Assassinate our citizens or leaders ?

Extract, under duress or threat, our natural resources for profit ?

Please tell me specifically, what act of aggression exactly they committed against us, prior to our acts against them ?

And explain why this egregious infamy the Iranians committed is apparently absent from all the standard history texts used in this country ....

and all this trouble is because the evil imperialist yankees "meddled" in Iran's affairs?
Well, you seem to think that what Iran does to Israel might have some bearing on their relationship .... so why is it that what we have done to Iran would have absolutely no bearing on our relationship with them, or their attitude towards us ?

Please explain the logic of that calculation to us all.

I'm quite sure it will be highly entertaining .....
 

RLENT

Veteran Expediter
That's just pure, unadulterated (expletive deleted) that comes straight off the Lew Rockwell website.
OH-MI-GAWD ..... Noooooooo !

Not the evil Lew Rockwell ..... nemesis of neocons everywhere (.... I hear he's like Kryptonite to 'em ....)

Isn't he that disgusting fellow who worked at Hillsdale_College in Michigan - which National Review described as a "citadel of American conservatism" ?

Surely not the same Lew Rockwell guy who started the Hillsdale College Press, and founded Imprimis - the monthly speech digest of Hillsdale College, described by Salon.com as "the most influential conservative publication you've never heard of" and by Rush Limbaugh (whose radio show is sponsored by Hillsdale College) as "one of the best and most important publications that I read."

Please, please tell me it's not that Lew Rockwell ....

...... oh the horror ......
 
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greg334

Veteran Expediter
So we're to believe that the Iranians have been pure as the wind-driven snow, and all this trouble is because the evil imperialist yankees "meddled" in Iran's affairs??:rolleyes:

Nope not saying that they are innocent, but rather that we are being told a bunch of bs because we are too ignorant and emotional about something that actually was our own making.

No matter how one wants to look at it, the media has played a roll in vilifying Iran for a need that seems to be beyond what is reasonable. Instead of focusing on the real issues, we are inidated with any action, comments or news about that country.

That's just pure, unadulterated (expletive deleted) that comes straight off the Lew Rockwell website.

Who's lew rockwell?

Seriously, I have not read much from his site so I don't know what he says.
You seem to conveniently ignore the fact that Iran has been a state sponsor of terrorism since the 1970s, arming, aiding and abetting organizations like Hezbollah, Hamas, Iraqi insurgents, and most recently the Syrian regime that's slaughtering it's citizens in the streets by the thousands - talk about MEDDLING in the affairs of other countries?!

And?

With our own money we have also given Hezbollah, Hamas, Iraqi insurgents through unfettered aid, just the lost money from Iraq seems to have funded a lot of terrorists and their activities. I recall that we were also quick to give money to those who attacked Israel a few years back, I didn't hear much about the objection of humanitrian aid going to Lebenon and that went into the control of Hezbollah.

And speaking of meddling, how about Iran's repeated vow to wipe Israel off the map and their denial of Israel's right to even exist? Sounds like that might qualify also, especially in light of their involvement with terrorist groups inside Lebanon and the PLO.

What's with the Glenn beck defense of Israel comments?

They can defend themselves and said they do not need our help.

When will people get the idea that our involvement has a price and if we are going to attempt to contain a country while complaining about the president who is doing nothing, we can't afford the cost of this unless those countries pay for our involvement.

The submitted budget has $677B for defense and another $677B for dhs - without addressing direct threats to our country, NK and Iran are not those threats.

So if you are for the intervention of Iran, then you must side with Obama and his budget and policies because he is president - right?

If you don't want to continuely be part of a debter's nation, then stand with those how don't want to see more and more money leave the country with absolutly no return.

More Ron Paul nonsense.:p I'll bet the French thought the same thing about Nazi Germany in the spring of 1936, right before Hitler crossed into the Rhineland. We all know how their policy of non-intervention and appeasement worked out

The funny thing is that they could not stop Hitler, simply because they were not able to. The French caused their own problems, going back to the mid-19th century. With the man power drain of the firstr war, it was amazing that Germany didn't rise up during the 20's to punish the French for the harsh treatment they gave the Germans. The French seeded the German people to create a Hitler, or a nationalist of some sorts.

For us it was simple, we were weak, as we are today. People seem to think that we did amazing things before and during a war where we were attacked by a country - not a group - but seem to forget we almost lost the war. It took almost 2 and a half years to make some real gains to defeat Germany. The problem with this line of thinking is the person who says is seems to be too far removed from reality.
 
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Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Nope not saying that they are innocent, but rather that we are being told a bunch of bs because we are too ignorant and emotional about something that actually was our own making.
The problem of our own making was Jimmy Carter's refusal to support the Shah, and instead allow the Ayatollah Khomeini - the father of modern terrorism - to return from exile to power in Iran. Granted, the Shah wasn't perfect by any means but he was considerably better than his replacement who came in and immediately started jailing and killing people by the thousands. Coincidentally, there are two excellent articles in today's WSJ about the Iranian threats and how they are escalating.

First, by Mitchell Silber:
"Iran's next target could well be on American soil. In Senate testimony last month, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper stated that Iranian officials "are now more willing to conduct an attack in the United States in response to real or perceived U.S. actions that threaten the regime."

As evidence, Mr. Clapper cited an alleged plot foiled last October in which a naturalized U.S. citizen of Iranian descent, directed by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, hired a member of a Mexican drug cartel to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States. The plan involved blowing up a Washington, D.C., restaurant—potentially killing hundreds of Americans in the process.
Iran has a proven record of using its official presence in a foreign city to coordinate attacks, which are then carried out by Hezbollah agents from abroad, often leveraging the local community—whether wittingly or not—as facilitators. Most notable are the 1992 and 1994 bombings of Israeli and Jewish targets in Argentina, which killed 29 and 85 people, respectively..."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203824904577215592376556800.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

See related article: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203513604577142713916386248.html

And my point stands as valid - they are state sposors of terrorism.

With our own money we have also given Hezbollah, Hamas, Iraqi insurgents through unfettered aid...
I agree 100% that we should not be throwing away taxpayer dollars to terrorist organizations, their sponsors, or anyone else that's not a proven ally of the U.S.

What's with the Glenn beck defense of Israel comments?
They can defend themselves and said they do not need our help.
Who's Glenn Beck?:rolleyes: But seriously, yes they can defend themselves but they do need our help with the provision of arms and weapons. The point is that they declare openly their intent to eliminate a sovereign nation and its people - that's not good.

So if you are for the intervention of Iran, then you must side with Obama and his budget and policies because he is president - right?
Wrong - a logical fallacy.

The funny thing is that they could not stop Hitler, simply because they were not able to.
Yes they were - the French military could have crushed Hitler's forces and he knew it. His army was under orders to immediately retreat if they were challenged, and if the French had taken care of business WW2 could have been prevented then and there. However, Hitler was correct in reading the mindset of the French politicians since they were involved in their own political crisis at the time and had no stomach for war having just come out of WW1. Sound familiar? What other country can we think of that has an ongoing political / economic crisis and is in the process of extricating itself from two unpopular wars?

For us it was simple, we were weak, as we are today. People seem to think that we did amazing things before and during a war where we were attacked by a country - not a group - but seem to forget we almost lost the war. It took almost 2 and a half years to make some real gains to defeat Germany. The problem with this line of thinking is the person who says is seems to be too far removed from reality.
That's right - we were weak and vulnerable because our leaders drew down our military capabilities thinking there wouldn't be any more wars after WW1, while ignoring Germany's military buildup in direct violation of the Treaty of Versailles. (See the parallel between these events and the current Iranian "buildup" with nuclear development?) Then war broke out in Europe, Japan attacked Pearl Harbor and it took us two years to rebuild to the level we needed to fight another world war in locations all over the globe. Obama is drawing down our military right now and destroying our economy with debt, putting us in a similarly vulnerable position. Amazing how these supposedly intelligent politicians can't learn from history. If the American people don't wake up and vote Obama and his socialist minions out of office, history is going to repeat itself.
 
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