The Media Will Turn on Harris
Newly in the race for president, Harris is enjoying a honeymoon period and more. She is vastly outperforming Trump in his favorite crowd-size indicator, in fundraising, and in organizing hundreds of thousands if not millions of volunteers for voter registration and get out the vote efforts. To date, the media has been uncritical of Harris.
It's not uncommon for the press to favorably cover a candidate only to become highly critical down the road. Right now, the media is enjoying a Harris honeymoon too. She's good for high ratings, which the media loves. When those level off, I expect the press to continue to seek high Harris ratings by generating controversies about her. To maintain viewer interest, they will fan the flames of controversy by raising difficult topics.
When that happens, I expect Harris to perform well. She is a long-seasoned political veteran and a former courtroom prosecutor. She's handled tough questions many times and will do so again when the tough questions come.
Another factor is Republican spending (Trump campaign, Republican National Committee, various PACs). Together, they will spend about a billion dollars to remind the public of Harris's shortcomings and try to tag her with all sorts of harmful labels.
While that is a factor, I believe the greater factor and offsetting factor is Trump himself. As long as he continues to make the campaign personal, as long as he continues his lies, personal attacks and campaign of grievance, and as long as his mentally unhinged temper tantrums remain unabated by his staff and allies, the Trump-friendly spending will be neutralized. As he has always done, Trump will succeed in taking the public attention off the issues -- ground where Trump can win -- and putting it on himself; ground where Trump will lose.
In other words, as long as Trump continues to make this election about Trump, Trump is destined to lose. America is tired of Trump, as the astounding uprising in Harris support shows.
Before Biden withdrew from the race, a huge majority of Americans disliked the Trump/Biden choice they were being presented with. When it became a Trump/Harris matchup, that negative energy dissipated. Joy and enthusiasm took it's place. People are tired of hearing Trump's dark view of America and many Americans. Harris is giving people the chance to believe in America again; and millions upon millions are loving it.
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