Kamala Harris

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Another Indicator Harris Will Win

In my entire lifetime, with just one exception, the most popular presidential candidate wins. Harris is five points more popular than Trump.
 

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Pilgrim

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Polls Adjusting their Methods After Gold-Standard Iowa Poll is Published

It appears a genuine movement is underway among pollsters to bring their data in line with the Iowa Poll. It's turning out she is not an outlier at all, just a leader with a superior methodology.

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Nathaniel Read Silver is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.

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More Democrat propaganda, designed to discourage the Republican vote. Rather than fact check every clip, let's take the one from Nate Silver since his credibility is well established. He DOES NOT show Harris wining IA, and his national projection shows Harris with a lead of .7% - a statistical dead heat by anyone's standards.

"...if you had to play the odds, this time Selzer will probably be wrong."

 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Track Record Matters

As in Iowa, so too in Nevada; a seasoned hand with a stellar track record predicts a Harris win.

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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Empty Seats at Harris Allentown Rally

As the photo shows, there are empty seats at Harris's Allentown rally today. A reporter who interviewed the Assistant Fire Chief says the attendance was limited by fire code.

That seems a bit odd to me. When seats and aisles are clearly visible, why would fire code keep more people out? Maybe because of those seated on the floor? I' don't know.

Also, to be fair, the venue is smaller than those booked for Trump's two rallies held so far today (Raleigh and Reading).

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muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Looking at the above poll from Atlasintel. It’s understandable why Trump has spent time in North Carolina, Georgia, and now Pennsylvania. Their objective is to lock down the two southern states and solidify the remaining state(Pa.) to put him over the 270 mark in the EC. Winning those three states will be able to call the election much earlier than waiting a few days to count enough ballots to declare a definitive winner. Arizona might take a while. Nevada and Michigan too. But those will just be bonus states he may win or lose after the votes are counted. Same with Wisconsin.
Trump still going to Michigan tonight to finish up the campaign. Michigan is very close.
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Polls Don't Win Tight Elections; Ground Games Do

"PITTSBURGH, PA - Earlier today, the Harris-Walz Campaign announced they had knocked on 805,000 doors in Pennsylvania on Saturday alone. This number does not include doors knocked by unions and other independent groups working to elect the Harris-Walz ticket.

"However, Western PA political observers have yet to observe any significant ground game by the Trump team."
(Source)

You can be sure Harris operatives and volunteers are working their tails off physically getting people to the polls today.

Per The Hill: "Volunteers who feel they are fighting for their values will work harder and care more about the outcome than canvassers simply in it for the paycheck. In their effort to leverage billionaire fortunes as an organizing force multiplier, Republicans have hired a wave of apathetic, disconnected canvassers." (Source)
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Harris Campaign Knocks on 100,000+ PA Doors Election Day Morning

CNN: "A Harris campaign official says that as of 11 a.m. ET, this morning, more than 100,000 doors have been knocked on by campaign staffers and volunteers across the battleground state of Pennsylvania."

How many doors has the Trump campaign knocked on this morning?
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Cool if True

If PA Latinos break 90% for Harris, Harris wins PA. But 90% is an incredibly (as in non-credible) high number. What demographic group breaks 90% for any candidate? That said, if Latinos break even 60% for Harris, Harris wins PA.

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skyraider

Veteran Expediter
US Navy
Wait...............Trump won the election, something went wrong, many in here had Kmallllaaa winning, well , ugh,,,many in here had KH winning all year and now what,,,,,,,,,,,,,,she did not make it,,,,,,,,,,,,,, do we need a recount since Trump won,,,,,,,,,,,,,no, many in here wanted Kamala and you did not win, but you said she would win and that did not happen................why were you all so wrong about Kamala?? Border Czar my butt, lol
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Wait...............Trump won the election, something went wrong, many in here had Kmallllaaa winning, well , ugh,,,many in here had KH winning all year and now what,,,,,,,,,,,,,,she did not make it,,,,,,,,,,,,,, do we need a recount since Trump won,,,,,,,,,,,,,no, many in here wanted Kamala and you did not win, but you said she would win and that did not happen................why were you all so wrong about Kamala?? Border Czar my butt, lol
See my response here.
 
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