There must be a major paradigm shift taking place that is bound to set the stage for permanently lowered rates in the future.
I dunno about
permanently lowered rates .... but as long as there is
excess capacity in terms of too many trucks chasing too little freight, there will be
downward pressure on freight rates - that's just the nature of the free market - supply and demand. It's almost an immutable law of economics .... barring some other external factor that would influence it.
I rather doubt that many here want to volunteer to stay out of service to reduce capacity so that rates might come up .....
Look folks, you can jump on me like others have and claim that companies who do not drop their rates will price themselves out of business; but that argument it a logical fallacy
I'm not going to jump on you - but I would like to hear your explanation as to how the expediting industry is not governed by the laws of supply and demand.
Companies have fixed expenses that they must meet .... these expenses aren't going to go away just because business slows down .....
A carrier can start any given week with high ideals about how we're not going to book "any cheap freight" ..... but probably along about Wednesday or Thursday - when you haven't booked a single load - that viewpoint might be subject to change - especially when you are faced with the prospect of meeting Friday's payroll - and you have leased o/o's calling into Dispatch complaining/whining/screaming about
"Why aren't you guys getting me moving ?"
I ran into a couple of TriState guys down in Birmingham, AL about a month ago .... the one had been sitting for 4 or 5 days IIRC .... In fact, I just got an email from him yesterday and he said it was
"very slow - only two loads, 1150 miles so far this year" ...... I imagine he might be in favor of his company being a little more competitive if it meant he was going to be running .... rather than just sitting in a truckstop for a week, 800 or 900 miles from home.
The only thing that is going to happen with regards to freight prices dropping ...... is a new and potentially dangerous future precedent of lower freight rates across the board from NLM all the way to government loads and pharmaceuticals.
Generally speaking, you're probably right - at least for the immediate, forseeable future.
What? Do you really think that customers are going to pay higher rates once the economy gets back on track after growing a custom to the bidding wars?
Sure - the bidding process is a double-edge sword - when times are lean, business is slow, and there is excess capacity, everyone is tripping over one another trying to bid and win loads ..... freight rates go down.
But when times are good and everyone is busy, that bid gets put up on a bid board .... and maybe doesn't get but one bid .... or maybe even none ..... depending on the circumstances of the freight and the parties involved, that could be the point where desperation sets in .... and the sky's the limit.
But for now, pretty much figure that as long as the economy is in the tank, everyone is going to be fighting over what loads are available .... and add to that those people who are in charge of finance (the bean counters) at companies are going to be pushing to cut costs wherever they can - you and me end up being part of that equation, like or not.
I was very upset when I saw posted on a broker board "i'm not going to name by name which one it was" that said something very sobering in reference to a cargo van load that was being brokered on the site. It read; happy new years and remember to bid low and get those cargo vans moving again!!
In your comments above, you are touching on what I see as part of the problem with this industry - brokers.
To some extent, and in some instances, brokers are like banks - they are parasitic - they take a cut and provide very little added-value. It's not so much that there is always too little total money in a load to move it - but in many cases much of that money may be going to someone who does very, very little for the compensation they are receiving.
Free market economics, the laws of supply and demand, generally love efficiency .... and abhors inefficiency. Brokers are inefficient - they add additional cost into the equation, while providing very little value. As any market matures, the tendency is that inefficiencies are weeded out ...... expediting is a relatively young industry ...... things are gonna continue to change.
Sad fact is, many (both individuals and companies) probably won't be able make it to see good times return.
What would really be ironic, considering the political views of some on this site, is if some degree of salvation came to this industry from external factors - such as government intervention or regulation - as consequence of who is currently holding the reins of power politically.
Mind you, I don't necessarily expect that to happen - nor would I necessarily be in favor of it - it's just that it would be pretty funny if it did .....
This new shift in bidding can't be good.
It's merely a reflection of the state of the marketplace and the economy at the moment - and yeah - it ain't good.
Feel free to attack (insert eo screen name here) whenever you get done reading this post!
I can't imagine
who you might be referring to ......