The Trump Card...

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Trump is Losing North Carolina and He Knows It

North Carolina has gone red in the last three presidential elections. Harris is the leader in NC now. Trump knows it and he's doing multiple appearances there in the campaign's closing days to try to keep it red. Multiple stops there means he's not doing stops elsewhere. Harris has Trump on his heels.
 
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muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Trump is Losing North Carolina and He Knows It

North Carolina has gone red in the last three presidential elections. Harris is the leader in NC now. Trump knows it and he's doing multiple appearances there in the campaign's closing days to try to keep it red. Multiple stops there means he's not doing stops elsewhere. Harris has Trump on his heels.
Just making sure it’s locked down. I see Harris is going to Wisconsin. That should be comfortably in the win column if one were to believe the Iowa poll. Yet she’s feverishly campaigning there.
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Shot:

Chaser:
View attachment 24304
I'm not as fond of polls as you are. I am accepting as credible, the highly respected Iowa Poll. It shows Trump will lose Iowa. I'm taking that shocker as an indicator that Harris support is stronger than most polls show in other states too.

You can find all the comfort you want in all the other polls. I'm accepting the Iowa Poll as an accurate state poll and a surprise national indicator.

Bolstering my outlook is the Harris ground game, the fact that Trump has not recovered from the Harris surge after Harris overtook him in the average of all polls, the fundraising indicator, the crowd size indicator, the enthusiasm indicator, the turnout indicator, the finely tuned machine the Harris campaign is, and more.

Also, Trump is contributing to his own demise with his ceaseless, shock-effect comments that drive more people away than they draw in.
 
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muttly

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I'm not as fond of polls as you are. I am accepting as credible, the highly respected Iowa Poll. It shows Trump will lose Iowa. I'm taking that shocker as an indicator that Harris support is stronger than most polls show in other states too.

You can find all the comfort you want in all the other polls. I'm accepting the Iowa Poll as an accurate state poll and a surprise national indicator.

Bolstering my outlook is the Harris ground game, the fact that Trump has not recovered from the Harris surge after Harris overtook him in the average of all polls, the fundraising indicator, the crowd size indicator, the enthusiasm indicator, the turnout indicator, the finely tuned machine the Harris campaign is, and more.

Also, Trump is contributing to his own demise with his ceaseless, shock-effect comments that drive more people away than they draw in.
You appear to be putting a lot of stock in this Iowa poll. While accurate in the past, so has been Emerson as well. But why did Selzer spike a poll in 2020 showing Bernie Sanders winning? Doesn’t that show that they can be politically motivated? Just like sharing results with Democratic operatives before it is released.
Huge red flags with this pollster and poll.
IMG_1476.jpegIMG_1477.jpeg
 
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muttly

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Forget about the polls. Look at the early voting enthusiasm or lack there of compared to 2020.
IMG_6136.jpeg
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
You appear to be putting a lot of stock in this Iowa poll.
Yes, I am.

You can raise all the suspicion and attribute all the motives you want. The poll is a long-standing, highly respected poll. One of the reasons I am not a poll junkie is polling is, by its very nature, problematic. The Iowa Poll, distinguished by its methodology, stands out as a beacon of reliability in comparison.

So go ahead. Cast as much shade on Selzer as you wish. Wave as many red flags as you care to manufacture. It will not change her real-world track record, and it will not shake my confidence in that track record as we approach Election Day, 2024.
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Forget about the polls. Look at the early voting enthusiasm or lack there of compared to 2020.
View attachment 24309
How many Arizona Republicans are voting for Harris? How many independents? How many Democrats? There are bunch of Republicans who have risen to support Harris, some of those likely reside in Arizona.
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Hats Off to Election Officials

Because of Trump's lies about the 2020 election, and MAGA militancy, State and local election officials have been subjected to undeserved abuse. In some cases, the threats were severe enough to motivate some officials to walk away out of fear for their safety and that of their families.

Nevertheless, we're now just days away from Election Day, 2024 and the elections systems are intact. Replacement officials and volunteers have been recruited. While there might be a minor ripple here or there, early voting has gone smoothly in all states where it is done.

Knowing that Trump et al are likely to claim election fraud and other improprieties in 2024 (it has already started), elections officials have done everything they can to bulletproof their systems and stand prepared to defend themselves against false claims and attacks. Trump will try to undermine the credibility of the votes that defeat him, and, because of our well-prepared election officials, he will fail. He will fail because he tipped his hand in 2020. The elections officials know what to expect and how to defend against it.

I saw this personally when early voting in Florida. I walked into the polling place to place my mail-in ballot in the drop box that was staffed and secured inside that building. When a volunteer saw I was there not to vote in person but to deliver my ballot, he picked me out of line and escorted me to the drop box. There, another volunteer examined my envelope to make sure I had signed and dated it. She then stamped it twice, once to date it, and once to indicate the location of the drop box. With each stamp, she looked me in the eye and announced what she was doing. She then instructed me to drop my ballot in the box, which I did. She thanked me for voting and I thanked her for the good work she is doing. The next day, I checked online to verify that my vote had been received and counted, which it had.

I have voted in this manner in other elections. It has never before happened that my ballot was treated with such care, and I was given such guidance about how to properly cast my vote. All of my prior votes have been received and counted. This seemed like overkill to me, but given Trump's expected shenanigans, it is understandable. If Trump or any of his people try to question the validity of my vote, everyone in the ballot chain of custody will rise up to say the vote was proper.

I expect the same diligence is in place in all other counties and states. Our elections systems are in great shape going into Election Day. We have our brave elections officials and volunteers to thank for it.

My hat is off to you, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for your courage, and for the good work you are doing to protect American democracy.
 
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muttly

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Yes, I am.

You can raise all the suspicion and attribute all the motives you want. The poll is a long-standing, highly respected poll. One of the reasons I am not a poll junkie is polling is, by its very nature, problematic. The Iowa Poll, distinguished by its methodology, stands out as a beacon of reliability in comparison.

So go ahead. Cast as much shade on Selzer as you wish. Wave as many red flags as you care to manufacture. It will not change her real-world track record, and it will not shake my confidence in that track record as we approach Election Day, 2024.
Guess some need to glom on to something given the early voting patterns so far.
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Campaign Enthusiasm

Trump lies about rally attendance as he speaks to hundreds of empty seats. It seems MAGA is getting as tired of Trump as Trump is tired in the campaign trail.

See Video Here

Another Video Showing Empty Seats as Trump Speaks

Vance/Don Jr. rally falls flat as flat can be.


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Harris campaign is enthusiastic and busy ... MASSIVE ground game activity:

1730680705242.png
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
How Trump Drives Voters Away from Him (and Why He'll Lose)

"When asked who they would vote for if the presidential election were held today, 64% of Latino respondents in Pennsylvania indicated support for Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, compared to 30% for Donald Trump. The strong preference for Harris reflects growing concerns among Latino voters about respect for their communities, especially following Trump’s recent rally, where invited speakers made remarks disparaging Puerto Ricans and Latino immigrants. The survey contains a +/-5% margin of error." (Source)

The media didn't do this to Trump.
The Democrats didn't do this to Trump.
By not condemning the controversial remarks made at his MSG rally, Trump did this to Trump
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Trump Losing the Stamina Game to Harris

I rarely spend more than 30 seconds watching Trump at one of his rallies. But viewing part of one today, he seems exhausted. His speech is low-energy. I felt bad for him. He obviously needs sleep but is not getting it. That's not fun for anyone. This is playing out exactly as I predicted. Trump is losing the stamina game to Harris.

Today, Trump "campaigned" by making up and telling a fantasy story about Al Capone not liking Mike Lindell's pillows. (See Report)

With just hours remaining until Election Day, THAT's what Trump thinks is important for voters to know? Just as i predicted, the tireder he gets, the more his cognitive decline shows.

He has four rallies scheduled tomorrow. I'm not sure he's going to make it through them. He is dead on his feet today. Watch for a physical collapse in public, or an abrupt schedule change that takes Trump out of public view. The man is genuinely exhausted. For his health and safety, he needs rest. If he engages in another round of late-night phone-calling and tweeting, he'll not get good sleep. People close to him who care about him, should dial his schedule back. If he campaigns in his present exhausted state, he'll lose more votes than he gains.

Video of an Obviously Exhausted Trump Rambling Before Disengaged Supporters
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
How Trump Drives Voters Away from Him (and Why He'll Lose)
Update:

50,000 Puerto Ricans recently rallied for Harris in Puerto Rico. They don't vote in the presidential election because Puerto Rico is a territory, not a state. But they are connected to millions of Puerto Ricans in the US mainland who do vote, and they can contribute money and volunteer to make phone calls. Big shift. Political earthquake. HUGE, HUGE, HUGE. 50,000 people! Possibly the reason Trump loses PA and thus the election,.

But MAGA people need not despair. If he can stay awake, Trump still has time to race back to PA to tell stories about Hannibal Lector and about Al Capone not liking Mike Lindell's pillows. And Trump's people can continue to associate themselves with garbage.
 
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ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Empty Seats at the Macon Rally Too

See video

This is becoming a thing, leading me to wonder if MAGA is getting discouraged. If so, many will sit out Election Day, keeping their vote to themselves.
 
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