Consider the promotion of more mushy moderate candidates like Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney (for his 3d strike), etc. by the establishment likes of Priebus, McConnell and Boehner; consider also the results of the most recent election in which the liberal Democrat/Obama agenda was soundly rejected. The current GOP leaders are so out of touch with their base it's easy to see the possibility of history repeating itself. If the GOP should end up nominating another moderate weakling like McCain or Romney, the formation of and more conservative third party is almost guaranteed with several strong Republican governors and outspoken senators as its standard-bearers: Walker, Jindel, Paul and Cruz, just to name a few.
In 1856, the Whig Party ran former president Millard Fillmore for president of the United States. Fillmore had last run in 1852; he'd been denied the nomination as the party fell apart over the issue of slavery. In an attempt to bring the party back together that year, the party nominated General Winfield Scott, who promptly imploded in the general election against Democrat Franklin Pierce...
Senator William Seward of New York said, "No new party will arise, nor will any old one fall." Seward thought that if the party elided the slavery issue, it could hold together. But by the same token, without the slavery issue, there was truly no difference between the two parties. As future president Rutherford B. Hayes wrote, "The real grounds of difference upon important political questions no longer correspond with party lines. The progressive Whig is nearer in sentiment to the radical Democrat than the radical Democrat is to the 'fogy' of his own party; vice versa." The party had become a party of convenience rather than principle...
The Republican higher-ups assure us, as Whig leaders did in 1852, that if Republicans nominate someone with name recognition, an old warhorse perhaps, the party can unify once again. Jeb Bush or Mitt Romney fill in for Winfield Scott. But just as Whigs were only able to win two presidential elections over the course of 23 years, both times with military heroes at the head, Republicans have won just one popular presidential election in the last 27 years, that time with a commander-in-chief incumbent during wartime.
Perhaps the Republican Party isn't dead. But Republican leaders would be wise to take a lesson from the Whigs if they hope to avoid their fate.
Will Republicans Go the Way of the Whigs? - Ben Shapiro - Page full