There is a VERY important lesson in this thread, especially for those considering their first truck. From the day you become an owner/operator, and even before if you drive for a fleet owner first, you should think ahead not just to your first truck but to its replacement too. Truck replacement cost is an expense just like fuel, tires, oil changes, and insurance.
I know some will complain that I should not be talking of such things since I do not yet own a truck. Kindly note that I'm not talking about trucks here. I'm talking about financial planning; something I know a bit about (11 years experience in that field).
Estimate the longevity of your first truck. Then estimate (as best you can) its replacement cost at the end of it's useful life. (Truck salvage/resale/trade-in value is omitted from the example). Then divide the replacement cost by the number of months between now and your truck replacement date. That amount should be booked as a fixed cost and banked for the future.
If you cannot afford to save money today to replace your first truck, you'll end up borrowing money later to buy a second truck; which means you'll be driving for your banker once again (see finance cost figures below).
The numbers would look something like this.
Cost of a very nice D-unit today: $140,000
20% down out of pocket $28,000 (first-time truck buyer)
Amount remaining to finance: $112,000
Hypothetical truck loan rate: 10.5% (4% over prime, assuming you can qualify).
Five year payment plan (60 months) to zero balance will give you a truck payment of: $2,386.
Finance costs of this loan (interest only, additional fees not included): $31,186.
Total payout including down payment: $171,186
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Assumed inflation rate: 3% (a very rough estimate, even the best economists cannot predict the number).
Cost of the same truck five years from now: $162,300
(Future value of a current sum: $140,000 at 3% in 5 years)
Assumed investment return on saved money 3% (conservative investment sufficient to keep pace with inflation and nothing more)
Monthly amount required to deposit (invest) to reach $162,300 in five years: $2,404.
Monthly amount to budget today to pay off first truck and pay cash for your second truck: $4,890.
Total paid out of pocket for second truck: $144,240 ($2,404 x 60 months, interest earnings paid the rest).
Finance cost of second truck: $0.00 (no loan needed, you are paying cash).
Note that in dollar terms, you'll pay less out of pocket for your second truck ($144,240) than you did for your first ($171,186) because of the finance costs you avoided and the interest your replacement truck savings earned over the 5 year period.
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Is this realistic? For some it is. For some it is not. To find out if it is realistic for you, run the numbers and adapt them for your cirucmstances: actual truck cost, personal non-business living expenses needed, truck life cycle, etc.
My ONLY point here is to show how truck replacement costs can and should be worked into an expedier's business plan. It is an imprecise and incomplete example. Variables abound.
For example, a personal decision can be made to finance half of your next truck instead of paying cash for all of it. The interest rate offered on a truck loan varies from driver to driver. Insurance cost are not even mentioned above, neither is depreciation. A host of tax considerations also apply.
Once again, this is an imprecise and incomplete example, and my ONLY point is to show how truck replacement costs can and should be worked into an expediter's business plan.
(Numbers derived from Texas Instruments financial calculator and Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. Note that numbers can vary due to rounding and payment assumptions (end of month, beginning of month).