That's the supply and demand theory and I wish you were right but you are presenting the theory on an assumed all-other-things-being-equal basis. All things are not equal, so while the theory works well in isolation, it is not working in practice. The exact same theory was voiced with every HOS change we have seen in our ten years in the business. It was voiced when CSA came out. If it was going to work, it would have worked by now.
People have been saying for years that there will be a driver shortage but none has developed in a way that raises rates or keep freight from moving. I'd love to be proven wrong on this but no one has cited contrary evidence so far. The trucks keep rolling, the freight keeps moving and if rates are going up at all, they are not going up enough to overcome the rise in operating costs.
Regarding getting one's head around the new HOS rules, they are not difficult to understand. They don't make sense to many drivers but it is easy to understand the words. Trucking is not a difficult profession intellectually. You do not need a higher education to enter the trade.
