The following is pure speculation. As with any speculation, it could easily prove to be wrong, and I'll be the first to admit it if it does. Nevertheless, the Fenway Partners purchase of Panther II presents an interesting set of dots to connect.
1. Prior to the Fenway purchase, Panther II has increased it's fleet 33% in just over a year, from 900 to 1,200 units.
Source: Fenway Partners June 13, 2005 press release
http://www.fenwaypartners.com/news_f.html (states 1,200 units), and EO's Panther II profile,
http://www.expeditersonline.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/1/103/printer (states 900 units
Did Panther II increase it's fleet solely due to market demand, or was the upcoming Fenway purchase also a factor? A larger fleet may have been more attractive to Fenway and may have fetched a higher price.
2. The same Fenway press release states, " Panther is the latest of six acquisitions by Fenway in the transportation and logistics sector. The firm's largest transportation and logistics platform, Transport Industries Holdings Inc., is comprised of three primary businesses: Transport Industries, a leading provider of dedicated contract carriage services to the food, beverage & retail segments; Total Distribution, a full-service warehousing and logistics provider with a presence throughout the Western U.S.; and American Trans-Freight, the fifth-largest non-asset based truckload carrier with attractive one-way transportation service capabilities. TIH is one of the largest private third party logistics providers in North America."
3. Fenway Partners is not a trucking company. It is an investment company. While it's common for trucking companies to purchase other trucking companies (Yellow-Roadway buys USF, Swift buys M.S. Carriers, etc.), when an investment company buys a trucking company, it is fair to assume the investment company has something more on its mind than generating profits by transporting freight.
4. The Fenway game plan described on Fenway's web site states, " Fenway's investment strategy is to sponsor companies with leading franchises that offer significant opportunities for value creation through growth and improvements in operating performance."
It is important to ask, for who is the value being created? In the case of an investment company, the answer is easy. Fenway seeks to create value for the investors that contributed money to Fenway's investment funds. In other words, Fenway exists to create value (wealth, a positive return on invested funds) for it's investors.
5. Two of the most successful brands and business models in the transportation industry today are Landstar and FedEx.
6. If, in a hypothetical exercise, you brand all of Fenway's transportation holdings with the same name and establish a leadership hierarchy among them, that new company has a lot in common with Landstar and FedEx, and is well positioned to compete.
7. A new company emerging in this way would be very attractive to other players in the transportation industry such as UPS or DHL, and others that have the market leaders in their sights. The acquisition of such a Fenway-created battle-ready group would give the acquiring companiy a big and nearly-instant boost in their ongoing contest for transportation market share and profitability. Hypothetically, Fenway could sell the branded transportation company it built and deliver a handsome profit to its investors.
Again, this is pure speculation based on nothing more than personal observation. The scenario could turn out to be totally wrong.
However, if it is right, it is good news, I believe, for independent contractor expediters. In the above scenario the big players will continue to want what we have; trucks owned by independent contractors and good people to drive them.
As the unexpected acquisition of Panther II by an investment company shows, ours is a dynamic industry. Wise expediters with all carriers will have plans in place to change carriers and/or their business models on a moment's notice. Doing so will help them "keep on trucking" and do so profitably.
Suggestion: Create and maintain ongoing relationships with recruiters of two carriers other than your own. Stay current with the other carriers' contract terms and business activities. Talk to your "Plan B and Plan C" carrier recruiters every 3 or 6 months just to touch base. You never know when you might need to make a quick move. If you do, you'll want to be in line ahead of the rush if others start moving too. If you are so inclined, your personal Plan B and Plan C might include getting your own authority or being a fleet owner that runs trucks with multiple carriers.
Personally, my wife and I are very happy at FedEx CC. We'd love nothing more than to run for a decade or two with them as we're running now. But we live with the knowledge that - like Panther II - FedEx CC could go into play at any time. Consequently, while we have no desire to move, we have our Plans B and C just in case.
Finally, this is not by any means to suggest that people should leave Panther II. It could well be that Panther II expediters will be better off than ever a year from now. Only time will tell. Regardless, it's always wise to keep your ear to the ground and your options open.