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I didn't do it but two weeks ago, I thought about predicting you would say that, and to be fair, I would have said, two weeks in advance Waltz would win the debate ... not even close. It matters little. I know of no running mate debate that made a difference of any sort in any presidential election.

Polls Update With the polls close as they have been, it seems fruitless to rely on them alone as a predictor of election success, especially when the election is more than 30 days away. That said, I do peek at them from time to time. Here's the latest list from 538. According to the...

He Resorted to Crimes In his most recent motion, Jack Smith says, "When [Trump] lost the 2020 presidential election, he resorted to crimes to try to stay in office." Trump has been indicted for those alleged crimes. He has been convicted of others. In still other cases, he has been found...

Dementia Don More of the same. Increasingly obvious. The man is not well and not fit to be president. "A confused & addled Trump made his most incoherent speech ever yesterday, making false & confused statements about Iran, hurricanes, cell apps, Germany, Africa, sex changes, brain injuries...

The Truth About Tariffs "Trump insists that tariffs are paid for by foreign countries. In fact, it is importers — American companies — that pay tariffs, and the money goes to U.S. Treasury. Those companies, in turn, typically pass their higher costs on to their customers in the form of higher...

I don't think so, but even if you are right, the effect is the same. Trump's net worth is declining, and Cuban's influence is prompting the targeted white men to consider Harris. And about "lawfare," if Trump was not actually committing fraud and other crimes, his legal issues would be reduced...

I understand why you are looking at Rasmussen again and again. It's one of the very few polls that show Trump ahead. And there are few other indicators that favor Trump. Harris is ahead in fundraising, crowd size, number of large rallies in battle ground states, number of volunteers, field...

This is a second-hand inquiry about something from an unnamed source. Trump has had nothing but high praise for the Secret Service. If he had a complaint, about the Secret Service keeping him out of battleground states, he'd voice it. Trump can go anywhere he wants to go. The Secret Service...

It has also been inaccurate in the past. Pick your day, make your point. Overall the polls are favoring Harris.

Mark Cuban Going After Trump Mark Cuban is now making his rounds on national podcasts listened to by mostly young white men who lean conservative. He's torching Trump as a scam and bad businessman. This matters. Cuban is a business icon whose net worth and business prowess exceeds Trump's. Yet...

Harris's best is better than Trump's, and it's enough to win, if the polls turn out to be accurate predictors. Poll accuracy is always questionable. But given what they say today, the best Trump can do is not good enough. He's been in the White House before and in the spotlight for 10 years...

I figured you'd find a way to dismiss every clip. The fact remains Trump stumbles and bumbles every day. Donald Trump is not well. Harris took full advantage of that in the debate. She pushed his buttons with ease and made him jump like a circus poodle. The Harris campaign and supportive PACs...

Kamala Harris Shoves the Migrant Border Crisis in Trump's Face That's the headline in The Daily Beast. And that's exactly what Harris should do. A while back, Congress developed a bipartisan bill that would have addressed much of the problem. Years of work went into this difficult issue. It...

In Trump's case, mispronounced words do count. It's not a simple slip. It's phonemic aphasia. The man is not well. https://www.salon.com/2024/03/07/dr-john-gartner-the-world-is-watching-a-fundamental-breakdown-in-trumps-ability-to-use-language/

Two Insiders Dump Their Trump Media Stock https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/26/business/truth-social-trump-media-stock-sale.html

https://x.com/i/status/1831748114367283575 https://x.com/i/status/1838369130271117511 https://x.com/i/status/1837539165577097500 https://x.com/i/status/1799902111582613526 https://x.com/i/status/1804588565072171079 https://x.com/i/status/1708467484406550896...

Trump Outsources His Ground Game, Late in the Game https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/26/trump-voter-turnout-elon-musk-pac

A Notable Difference Eric Adams, Democrat, got caught taking undisclosed money from Turkey. DOJ under Joe Biden, a Democrat, prosecuted him. Michael Flynn, Republican, got caught taking undisclosed money from Turkey. Donald Trump, a Republican, made him National Security Advisor, then...

Actually, Trump himself is doing a good job turning himself into the old, addled candidate. Rambling speeches. slurred words. Continuous blunders about factual items, like which town he was just in, screaming "They're eating the dogs!" Utterly incoherent answers to questions, absolute confusion...

Further confirmation that Trump associates with and hires people who are liars devoid of integrity, willing to abuse rather than respect the justice system. Further confirmation that Giuliani himself is a liar devoid of integrity, willing to abuse rather than respect the justice system.