Yellow/Roadway Stock is at $0.96

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
With its stock now at $0.89 (closing price today), it seems the investor community has given up on YRC Worldwide (Yellow/Roadway).

The stock is down 80% year to date and down to less than a dollar from its 2005 high of about $62.00. Since last fall, it has been trading roughly in a $6.00 to 2.00 range, gradually trending downward to the $2.00 level. Now it has reached penny stock levels at $0.89.

Not long ago, YRCW represented about 20% of the LTL market. Competitors have been wishing YRCW would get it over with and go bankrupt so a measure of pricing power can shift from shippers back to carriers. At least some shippers have been supporting YRCW in an attempt to keep it above water, thereby maintaining a truck capacity surplus that will keep downward pressure on freight rates.

I don't see YRCW making it and it appears the competitors may get their wish. If so, it may be good news for expediters too from a freight pricing point of view.

Even if YRCW manages to go into Chapter 11 and come back out, or somehow manages to struggle through without filing bankruptcy, the restructured company will be a fraction of its former self.

And so it goes as the recession continues on.

Edit: Please forgive the $0.96 price in the subject line. I started the post when the price was there, edited it to the closing price in the text but posted it before correcting the $0.96. My bad. Subject lines cannot be edited.
 
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piper1

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
Seems odd that just as hub and spoke style of LTL freight is making a comeback, the 2 (now 1) former kings of this style of trucking are drowning. Maybe the merger wasn't a good idea after all!!
 

Moot

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
At least some shippers have been supporting YRCW in an attempt to keep it above water, thereby maintaining a truck capacity surplus that will keep downward pressure on freight rates.

Those shippers could end up with freight stuck in the pipeline for weeks when the doors close.


And so it goes as the recession continues on.

Their days were numbered. The sluggish economy is speeding up the inevitable.
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
Thanks Phil for the heads up, I shorted my FedEx stock this morning and when I read this I bought YRC, it went in after hours to 1.02 a share and I now made another truck payment. :p
 

x06col

Veteran Expediter
Charter Member
Retired Expediter
US Army
Yes and, UTIW a NON ASSET and NON DRIVER (yuk) based Logistics organization is priced at $11.10. Should say something about what the tools are worth that make things happen.
 

wallytrucker1

Expert Expediter
Phil, I am enjoying the 100+ percent rise in Yellow stock today. Could you please comment on one of my other stocks(LVLT). Thanks
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
Phil, I am enjoying the 100+ percent rise in Yellow stock today. Could you please comment on one of my other stocks(LVLT). Thanks

YRCW has been a trading stock for several months now. At about 11:24 EDT this morning, it was at $1.90 a share. Had you bought the stock at the open and were able to have your order filled at last night's closing price, you could have more doubled your money before lunch.

Day traders thrive on stocks like this. If you have the ability to be a consistent net winner in this arena, by all means go for it. But if you do not have the ability, watch out. Without a good trading system and proper equity management, you are never more than one bad trade away from ruin. Trading has nothing to do with expediting, so back to YRC Worldwide.

The stock surged this morning on news that the company and the Teamsters reached a tentative agreement that extracts more concessions from the Teamsters. In yesterday's news, the item discussed was YRCW being permitted to not make payments into the employee pension funds for a while, thereby freeing up cash the company desparately needs. We will see what was actually agreed to when the details are announced.

In January, when the stock was trading around $4.00 a share, the Teamsters agreed to pay cuts in return to a 15% equity stake in the company. In yesterday's news, nothing was being offered to the Teamsters in return for additional concessions, and that after the Teamsters watched their equity value drop from $4.00+ to less than $2.00 at this moment.

The lower the stock goes, the less able the company is to obtain credit and use its value as a negotiating chip. It is worthy of note that the Teamsters are agreeing to cuts that would have been unthinkable one or two years ago. That too is a measure of the company's viability.

YRCW has closed terminals, sold its corporate headquarters, cut employees, reduced expenses, renegotiated covenants with its lenders, pledged its real estate as collateral, etc. etc. etc. This has been going on for months and the only news we see coming out of YRCW is that of the next measure designed to further shrink and hopefully save the company. As long as the freight recession continues, time is not on YRCW's side. If freight does not pick up, YRCW is going to run out of things to negotiate away and go bankrupt.

For expediters, the factors I mentioned above remain the same. YRCW is on its way to going under or to somehow surviving but as a shadow of its former self. This will have an impact by reducing the truck capacity surplus in the LTL market, thereby returning a measure of pricing power to carriers. If that happens, it may have a positive impact on expediters as well.

I am not watching YRCW because I am interested in its stock trading potential. I am watching it because I am interested in the present surplus of trucks that affects us all.
 
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davekc

Senior Moderator
Staff member
Fleet Owner
Thanks Phil for the heads up, I shorted my FedEx stock this morning and when I read this I bought YRC, it went in after hours to 1.02 a share and I now made another truck payment. :p

Are you saying you have recieved a good ROI?:D
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
Are you saying you have recieved a good ROI?:D

Yep'ers great ROI.

You know I am trying to figure this one out, maybe you can help me Dave.

What does YRC and other trucking companies have to do with FedEx other than FedEx buying them up and converting contractors to employees?

I and a few others are not seeing a connection with the amount of freight that a CC owner would get and one like me, do you?
 

davekc

Senior Moderator
Staff member
Fleet Owner
Yep'ers great ROI.

You know I am trying to figure this one out, maybe you can help me Dave.

What does YRC and other trucking companies have to do with FedEx other than FedEx buying them up and converting contractors to employees?

I and a few others are not seeing a connection with the amount of freight that a CC owner would get and one like me, do you?

I can't say I am seeing one either.
 

Darmstadter

Veteran Expediter
Roadway must have a group that bids on expedites--they got an award from NLM back in 2005, which would make me believe that they at least at one time moved a fair amount of expedite.
I would guess stuff that picked up Friday and delivered Monday could still fit into their network.

www.nlmi.com/docs/2005CarrierAwardsweb.doc
 

ATeam

Senior Member
Retired Expediter
From the June 10 Journal of Commerce:

"YRC Stock Value Slides 25 Percent

YRC Worldwide's stock plunged to a record low Wednesday, dropping from about 31 cents to 22.2 cents per share before pulling up to 23.1 cents when the market closed."
 
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