And what is the mitigating factor now? .......... Man and his greenhouse gas ...... burp!
causing the fast forward to the next
potential catastrophe
Are ya shure? Is that really the mitigating factor? The primary cause? Are ya shure? No chance whatsoever that the weather would be precisely as it is today if man were still using stone tools?
Yes, temperature average,
averages, mind you, averages, fluctuate over thousands of years. But that doesn't mean there haven't been major aberrations that took place within those thousands of years over a 20-50 year time frame, both hot and cold. There is fossil and recorded evidence of them. There was a mini ice ace that that lasted about 50 years, totally unexpected even based on computer models, that started in mid-1700s and lasted until the early 1800s. It's why George Washington has such a bugger of a time fighting those mangy Red Coats.
The weather is changing (despite it's always been changing, including temperatures), and man has been putting a lot of extra greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Well, two things. One, just how much does it take to alter the weather? They don't know. They really don't. They're guessing. Two, in a glorious example of the Illusory Corollary, the see Climate Change, and they see greenhouse gases caused by man, and with no real evidence at all, they make the connection. And it's made on a knee-jerk reaction of fallacy, namely, if man didn't cause this, what else could?
And the answer is, of course, the volcano gods.
But they would look silly saying that. Reason is that it smack a little too close to the capital "G" God, and another is they're scientists and we can't be having scientists say crackpot things like that. But that's exactly how things people didn't understand gor explained away for millennia. If you don't know the answer, it's certainly easier to say the gods did it, but it's also just as easy to make that illusory corollary and say man did it. Plus, the gods won't give you research money.
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Changes this large have historically taken thousands of years, but are now happening over the course of decades."[/QUOTE]When you average it out over a thousand years, the changes happening today may end up being a barely registering blip on the average. They don't know. But "they don't know" won't sell magazines, get you research grants, and sell diesel particulate filters.
Did you know the most abundant and most influential greenhouse gas is water vapor? But it's not one that humans can be blamed for. Spurred by the UN's official position on the matter, most scientists and officials no longer even consider water vapor to be a factor. It's been removed from the equation. Computer models assume a high concentration of water vapor, then fill in the blanks with the other gases, so that the only variable is the human-caused gases. That's the epitome of junk science, and many scientists even admit it, which is why the famous qualifiers are used so often.
Notice how readily they so often say that you can't point to humans as the cause for any single weather event, like this heat, or the snow last winter, or the last of snow in many parts of the country last winter, or this or that hurricane? If humans were causing this, and they knew it, they could, in fact, point the finger. And if you can't point it at one event, you certainly can't point it at any of the others. Pretty soon you run out of events to point at and you've got a bunch of fingers left over. So they point at it all, all of it, all at once. It's almost as arrogant as saying we're alone in the universe. They don't know. Haven't found life yet, therefor we're it? That's some warped logic. You could even call it a logical fallacy, because it is.
It's the illusory corollary of seeing something in one set of data, and connecting to another set of data, even where no real, actual connection exists. Every time a baseball player makes fantastic defensive play to end the inning, he's always the one to lead off the next inning at the plate. Well, no he's not. But it sure seems that way. You certainly remember it every time it happens. Man pumps CO2 into the atmosphere, it rains a whole bunch in Florida, or it's really hotter than "normal" someplace, or the wind is blowing harder than is does on the average day. They've got to be connected, don't they?