Jobs report strengthens turnaround hopes

oncedrove

Expert Expediter
WASHINGTON -- A better-than-expected government jobs report Friday strengthened the growing consensus that the worst economic downturn in generations is nearing an end, and may even have ended already.

While economists warned, however, that there's a long way to go before job growth rebounds along with the slowly expanding economy, President Barack Obama voiced cautious optimism.

"Today, we're pointed in the right direction," he said in a Rose Garden appearance. "We're losing jobs at less than half the rate we were when I took office. We pulled the financial system back from the brink."

Employers shed 247,000 jobs in July, the Labor Department said, highlighting the best monthly performance since last August. In a separate measure, the agency reported that the nation's unemployment rate fell to 9.4% from 9.5% -- the first drop since April 2008.

In another bright sign, Labor statisticians revised earlier reports to show that job losses in the previous two months weren't as bad as initially had been estimated. Losses in May and June were revised to 303,000 and 443,000, respectively, from 322,000 and 467,000.

Forecasters had expected about 320,000 lost jobs in July and an uptick in the unemployment rate. After last week's report of a smaller-than-expected economic contraction at a 1% annual rate from April through June, Friday's numbers raised hopes that the recession is ending.

The forecasting group RDQ Economics in New York said in a note to investors: "The case that the recession ended in June continues to grow with this report."

Other economists voiced more shaded degrees of enthusiasm.

"The economy is still shedding jobs, but the pace of decline is slowing, consistent with the view that output has hit bottom," Nigel Gault, the chief U.S. economist for forecaster IHS Global Insight, wrote in a research note.

"Obviously, we are not out of the woods yet and must confront continued job losses and a sluggish recovery," said Lawrence Mishel, the president of the Economic Policy Institute, a liberal policy-research group.

Jobs report strengthens turnaround hopes | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
When job growth happens, then we are recovering from our near depression.

Until then don't get your hopes up because no one is an expert in this economy to forecast anything.
 

hdxpedx

Veteran Expediter
Fleet Owner
the nation's unemployment rate fell to 9.4% from 9.5% -- the first drop since April 2008.??
FUZZY MATH!!

"revised" in a couple of months to add the 800,000 unemployeed today they left out!! hello Detroit!
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
This 9.4 rate is bs and the government knows it...they won't show the true #, the U6 # because the people will riot...by the way the dept of labor has the U6 unemployment # at 19.8.....and that is the gov's #....
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
even using the fake number the govenment want you to believe some see through any good in these bs #'s...even one of the reporters that "left" key info out of the report....

August 07, 2009
American Thinker Blog: The Decline in July Unemployment Really Means An Increase

The Decline in July Unemployment Really Means An Increase
Lee Cary


President Obama interprets the decline in the official unemployment rate from June's 9.5% to July's 9.4% as a sign of "light at the end of the tunnel." But it's more likely a on-coming train.

President Barack Obama said the dip in the unemployment rate to 9.4 percent means he "can see a light at the end of the tunnel" and that "the worst may be behind us." (Source)


And, CNN reported that Obama said,


"Today, we're pointed in the right direction. We're losing jobs at less than half the rate we were when I took office," Obama said at the White House.


The somewhat misleading lede in the Reuters article featured on the DRUGE REPORT today, under the heading "9.4%," begins,

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. unemployment rate fell in July for the first time in 15 months as employers cut far fewer jobs than expected, providing the clearest sign yet that the economy was turning around.

Clear? To whom? How do 247,000 more people unemployed in July than June translate into a decline in the unemployment rate?


In a phone interview today with the Reuters reporter who wrote the piece, Lucia Mutikani, she confirmed and elaborated on several of the facts in her article. While the number of people in the job market declined by 155,000 in June, it went down 422,000 in July. She suggested that "most likely people get tired or discouraged" and that "people left the job market" as the civilian labor force decreased. "Labor actually went down," she said.


So, while the President and some in the legacy media tout the 9.4% figure for July as a decline in unemployment from June, the statistic is based on a shrinking labor force. It's like a general saying, "The army's casualty rate this month went down slightly from last month, but then one of our divisions has deserted." That would not be a military force "pointed in the right direction" with the worst behind it.


The light at the end of the tunnel Obama's seeing isn't the end of the darkness -- it's an oncoming train, based on these unemployment figures anyway. To conclude otherwise is an exercise in seriously tortured logic.
 

aristotle

Veteran Expediter
The Obama administration can twist the statistics to mean anything they want.

That we are losing jobs at a slightly slower pace than last month might simply be a function of the fact there are fewer jobs to lose. There are only so many manufacturing jobs, construction or retail jobs, or any other private sector job that can be squeezed out of the economy. There are only so many that are deemed expendable. It is a finite amount.

As the excess is squeezed out, the rate of job losses must slow down. It is inevitable.

I agree with Greg: until positive job growth begins, the Obama recession continues unabated. Can the Obama administration create an environment where BONAFIDE permanent private sector jobs flourish??? I seriously doubt it.
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
aristotle wrote:

Can the Obama administration create an environment where BONAFIDE permanent private sector jobs flourish???

lets see, how much of our manufacturing base has let the country for overseas factories in the last decade because of the highest corp tax rate in the world? And now barry wants to punish the corps that are still here with even higher taxes and surcharges and forced insurance preimums...

So no he can't create the environment needed to create more private sector jobs,,he is driving them out....

Read it here:

http://www.expeditersonline.com/forum/soapbox/37775-assault-american-business.html
 
Top