Heavy Truck Orders Up 31 Percent in April

OntarioVanMan

Retired Expediter
Owner/Operator
Heavy Truck Orders Up 31 Percent in April | Journal of Commerce
William B. Cassidy | May 18, 2011 8:37PM GMT
The Journal of Commerce Online - News Story

Backlog grows as analysts question whether manufacturers can meet demand in 2011

Net orders for heavy trucks surged 31 percent in April from March, an ordering pace that is creating a bulging backlog that will strain truck production lines.

North American Class 8 net orders totaled 38,100 units in April, the highest level since March 2006, pushing the order backlog past 126,000 units, ACT Research said.

The April spike followed a 20 percent jump in net orders in March, when U.S. truck makers received 28,900 orders, according to the vehicle market research firm.

“As has been the case throughout 2011, the (manufacturing) industry’s challenge is ramping up production,” said Kenny Vieth, ACT president and senior analyst.

“The industry’s ability to build trucks, rather than demand for trucks, will be the constraining factor on Class 8 production this year,” Vieth said in a statement.

Increased freight shipping, trucking profits and pent-up replacement demand helped drive April’s order spike, along with rising used truck prices, Vieth said.

But translating demand into trucks won’t be easy. Navistar Senior Vice President Jim Hebe recently said there will be a gap between orders and finished trucks.

Hebe told reporters earlier this month parts and components suppliers would be hard pressed to keep up with the demand from truck manufacturers.

Research firm FTR Associates has raised the same question. “There are already some shortages in the supply chain,” said Eric Starks, president of FTR.
 

jjoerger

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
US Army
You can sit at the T/A in Denton, TX and watch the new Peterbilts roll through all day long. One of the delivery drivers told me they can't find enough drivers and they are backing up in the yard at the factory near there.
 

greg334

Veteran Expediter
I don't see it unless there are problems with production like an unseen shortage due to a quality issue.

If the suppliers are holding inventory, they will adjust their production timing to fit the customer's need. Case in point a company near here ships parts to the Mexico freightliner plant in a pseudo JIT scheme, the plant pre-orders all the parts three weeks ahead of time, production completes the parts within four days of use and it all ships on that completion day to get down there within 14 hours of use. If Freightliner is slowing production, they plan to do so at least 6 days before it is in effect so the suppliers can sync up but the parts within the original order time frame still get shipped (exception is a complete shutdown of the lines). Depending on when the parts are being used, they may go common carrier with a specific start date or they may go expedited freight (not the same thing) to get them there quicker.
 

chefdennis

Veteran Expediter
There is a regular flow of expedite trucks into that Denton TX Peterbuilt plant...when i was with my previous carrier, we use to haul freight into there all the time...i can't tell you the number of wiring harnesses I have taken there out of el paso....
 
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