Ducks! Ducks! Ducks!

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Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
GREAT news for all who hunt ducks or have any interest in waterfowl. Overall duck numbers set yet ANOTHER record for the spring hatch this year. The most notable, and wonderful change, was seen in scaup, bluebills. They are up 21 over last year and above the their long term average for the first time in decades! It appears that all the conversation work that duck hunters, and like minded people, have been doing is paying off.

Drought conditions that are forming will likely have an effect on populations later in the year and will hurt next spring if things to turn around. The work has been done, all it takes is rain and snow. Let's hope for an early, cold, long a very wet winter.

I was unable to get the chart to copy over but those interested can see it on the link below.

Duck Populations Hit All-Time High



North America's total spring duck population is the highest ever recorded, according to the annual Waterfowl Breeding Population and Habitat Survey released Tuesday.

Conducted each May by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the Canadian Wildlife Service, the survey puts the duck population at 48.6 million birds. That represents a 7 percent increase from 2011's record number of 45.6 million.

"This is the highest duck count since we started the survey in 1955," says Dr. Frank Rohwer, Delta Waterfowl's scientific director. "We had excellent wetland conditions in 2011, the second-highest pond count ever. So last year, we made a pile of ducks. This year, we're counting them."

Mallards, blue-winged teal, green-winged teal, gadwalls, canvasbacks, northern shovelers and scaup are all up significantly from last year, with both species of teal and shovelers at all-time highs. Blue-winged teal are estimated at 9.2 million, green-winged teal number more than 3.4 million and shovelers now top 5 million.

Mallard breeding numbers sit at 10.6 million, a 15 percent increase over 2011 and 40 percent over the long-term average.

Gadwall increased 10 percent over last year, and now total 3.5 million. The population is nearly double the long-term average for gadwalls.

American wigeon are up slightly to 2.1 million, but are still 17 percent below their long-term average.

Scaup numbers are up 21 percent to 5.2 million, the seventh-straight year that the bluebill count has gone up. Scaup are at their highest breeding population since 1991.

Redheads declined slightly to just under 1.3 million, but still registered the second-highest population estimate in the history of the survey. Canvasbacks jumped 10 percent to 760,000, the fourth-highest count on record.

"All in all, this is a great duck count," says Rohwer.

Pond Counts Down

While the total breeding population is strong, the news is different for breeding habitat. The survey is calling 2012 an "average to below-average" year for moisture. The total pond count for prairie Canada and United States combined has dropped 32 percent, from an estimated 8.1 million ponds last year to 5.5 million this year.

"The ponds that are dry are the important ones for ducks - the temporary and seasonal wetlands," Rohwer says. "We kept the large ponds, but lost the small ponds."

Drier conditions may account for the one species that shows a significant drop in the survey area. Northern pintails are down more than one million birds, from 4.4 million birds last year to 3.4 million. One possible explanation is that pintails didn't like the look of the drier conditions and just kept flying north.

"Pintails numbers increased in northerly habitats such as Alaska," says John Devney, Delta's senior policy director of U.S. policy. "This suggests sprig over-flew the prairies this spring. Research has well documented that in average or dry conditions, many pintails head north to the boreal forest. The survey's ability to detect them is reduced."

Significantly, the biggest decline in wetland conditions has occurred on the U.S. prairies. The pond estimate for the Dakotas and Montana is 1.7 million, which is 49 percent below the estimates from last year. Only the Coteau Region of North and South Dakota is rated good for 2012. No areas are rated excellent.

"The Dakotas have carried a disproportionate load of continental duck production over the last few years," says Devney. "If we get dry here and lose the wetlands and upland nesting cover, the U.S. prairies just won't be able to produce at the amazing levels we have seen since the mid-1990s, and that will have a real impact on hunters almost everywhere."

Conditions across the Canadian prairies have also declined this year. Temporary wetlands, crucial to successful breeding, retained little moisture because of a shallow frost seal and below-average participation. Last year, most of Saskatchewan and Manitoba was inundated with water. May pond estimates for 2012 in prairie Canada have dropped 21 percent, from 4.9 million to 3.9 million.

The overall pond count is still 9 percent above average, but as the prairies dry out, you can expect a direct impact on hunting, says Joel Brice, Delta's senior director of conservation.

"Let's not forget that we hunt the fall flight, not the spring count," says Brice. "Lots of ducks jammed into fewer wetlands negatively impacts breeding success. There's a good chance we won't see as many juveniles as last year, and those are the birds that are easiest to decoy. Still, it promises to be great year. We may just have to work a bit harder."

For more information: Contact Delta Senior Director of U.S. Policy John Devney at 888-987-3695

Delta Waterfowl Foundation is a leading North American conservation organization, tracing its origins to the birth of the wildlife conservation movement in 1911. The Foundation supports research, provides leadership and offers science-based solutions to efficiently conserve waterfowl and secure the future of waterfowl hunting. Delta Waterfowl is based in Winnipeg, Manitoba, and Bismarck, N.D.

http://www.theoutdoorwire.com/story/1341558100zcr63ub5hav
 

NorthernBill

Veteran Expediter
Owner/Operator
I will have to say that the duck's are doing well here in the oil Field of Alaska's north slope. Just an observation from my travels and waiting for them to cross the road.
 

zorry

Veteran Expediter
I'm not hoping for a long wet winter just so you have more birds to shoot !
When I retire in the southern third of the country I'll consider rooting for your cause.
 

layoutshooter

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
I'm not hoping for a long wet winter just so you have more birds to shoot !
When I retire in the southern third of the country I'll consider rooting for your cause.

I am NOT hoping for a long, wet winter just to have more birds to shoot. Long, cold wet winters are GOOD FOR THE ENVIRONMENT. Thousands of species depend on heavy snow pack to survive. Most of those are not hunted, not even game animals.

People seem to have a disconnect from nature in this country. Many also seem to think that just because a person hunts that his/her/it's ONLY concern is game numbers to kill. Nothing could be further from the truth.

My 'cause' is a healthy environment. Lots of water, in the proper forms at the correct times of the year. ALL species on earth, even man, benefits when those conditions take place.
 

EnglishLady

Veteran Expediter
Does this help at all?

Discovery News

"There's a greater than 50 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the second half of 2012, the National Weather Service announced today (July 5).

When El Niño conditions are in place, water temperatures in the tropical Pacific are above average, which has far-reaching consequences for climate and weather patterns around the globe

Based on the National Weather Service's prediction, the northern United States could be in for a warmer and drier winter than average, while the Southwest and Southeast could find itself with more rain than usual."

more
Chance of El Nino Developing Increases : Discovery News
 

layoutshooter

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Does this help at all?

Discovery News

"There's a greater than 50 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the second half of 2012, the National Weather Service announced today (July 5).

When El Niño conditions are in place, water temperatures in the tropical Pacific are above average, which has far-reaching consequences for climate and weather patterns around the globe

Based on the National Weather Service's prediction, the northern United States could be in for a warmer and drier winter than average, while the Southwest and Southeast could find itself with more rain than usual."

more
Chance of El Nino Developing Increases : Discovery News

Yeah, saw this months ago. I don't like El Nino years. NOW, when the La Nina follows and it is much colder and wetter things are just HUNKY DORRY!

It also depends on what early spring is like. Last winter was dry in most of the 'duck factory' areas, BUT, early spring was wetter than normal so pond levels were in good shape when the birds got there. As long as we can keep reasonable levels things will be ok.
 

Slo-Ride

Veteran Expediter
Yeah, saw this months ago. I don't like El Nino years. NOW, when the La Nina follows and it is much colder and wetter things are just HUNKY DORRY!

It also depends on what early spring is like. Last winter was dry in most of the 'duck factory' areas, BUT, early spring was wetter than normal so pond levels were in good shape when the birds got there. As long as we can keep reasonable levels things will be ok.

Went and check on our duck blind in Grass Lake over the weekend. Nothing but a mud pit now,very lil water. This last heat wave and lack of water has really put a hurt to it. usaully hold 3 to 4 ft of water. We need a good 3 day soaker real soon. Only good coming out of this dought I can think of is just may dry up the bottom a bit and make it easier walking when the water comes back ???

As far as a wet winter, Ill take wet water over hard water (ice) any winter :D
 

layoutshooter

Veteran Expediter
Retired Expediter
Went and check on our duck blind in Grass Lake over the weekend. Nothing but a mud pit now,very lil water. This last heat wave and lack of water has really put a hurt to it. usaully hold 3 to 4 ft of water. We need a good 3 day soaker real soon. Only good coming out of this dought I can think of is just may dry up the bottom a bit and make it easier walking when the water comes back ???

As far as a wet winter, Ill take wet water over hard water (ice) any winter :D

Drought, at the proper times, is good for lakes. The bottoms get exposed to the sun. It kills off some weed and allows others and new growth as the waters returns.
Messes things up the years when it happens for sure.

Ice seals are very good in the seasonal wetlands. An early freeze 'seals' the bottoms of seasonal ponds trapping the snow melt and allowing them to hold more water in the spring when the nesting takes place.

We will, however, get what we get. This years hatch is proof that all the work that DU, Delta and Waterfowl USA have been doing is working. An amazing number of birds. I was really incouraged by the 21+ increase in bluebills. Back up above the long term average for them since 1995!
 
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